Great show in London yesterday. 700,000 turn out for a second referendum. How much more impressive and persuasive would it have been if half that number were leave voters who now want the opportunity to change their mind.
But no. Hardly a leave voice to be heard. Either that’s poor marketing, or two years of relentless project fear campaigning from the Remain camp has hardly dented the support for leave.
Instead, it was the usual band of brothers and sisters blaming Tory Brexit and the cuts and saving the NHS.
So there we have it. The guys who lost first time round, want the chance to reverse the result. How is that democratic? How is that listening to and honouring the wishes of the majority? How is that fair? Imagine an FA cup team (say Norwich) winning on a disputed goal being forced to hold a replay because someone complained to the ref. That wouldn’t happen surely?
Don’t take my word. Ask man-of-the-people Gary Lineker who was at the march. You know Gary, he’s the BBC’s best paid TV star with a basic salary £1.7 million. Sadly, because of Tory austerity cuts, he now struggles to live off that income, which is why he was the only man to refuse to take a BBC pay cut https://bit.ly/2L84ofS.
No wonder he was protesting. Poor sausage. He could however get Patrick Stewart to bung him a few bob (net worth around $70 million), except he is a Yorkshireman. Perhaps Delia (net worth $36 million) could bake some cakes and get Baron Adonis to hold a raffle at a reunion rally of Blair’s Cool Britannia gang.
Nothing about yesterday was inspiring. It would have been truly inspiring to find the national mood had changed, that a huge majority now wanted to stay in the European Union, but that, spectacularly, did not happen. It was just a love-in for a Remainer sect; but it was lovely day, the sun shone and it was a chance to dust off the banners, sing your favourite songs and chant your favourite slogans and feel good about yourselves. If you don’t get to reverse the vote, there is always the planet to save.
I can see how it must boil your piss.
Being reminded that there are loads of people out there who earn more than you do.
The selfish greed I get.
What I don't get is how, in Little England, people who earn £100 an hour have manged to persuade people who earn £12 an hour that the trouble with this country is that the people earning £8 an hour an stealing all their money.
> but it was lovely day, the sun shone and it was a chance to dust off the banners, sing your favourite songs and chant your favourite slogans and feel good about yourselves.
Hello again John.
I wonder what a Leave march would look like?
Angrier and more beige?
Less than a quarter of the UK population voted to leave.
> Less than a quarter of the UK population voted to leave.
And even fewer voted to remain.
..and only 1% were on the streets of London, depending on who's count you believe. Some of them were EU/other nationals too.
> And even fewer voted to remain.
So based on the above two points, less than half the population voted on a fairly monumental decision.
Surely now that we have a much clearer idea about the possible exit position and the ramifications of that, and the voters have some actual information to base a decision on, a second referendum is the logical choice.
> If you don’t get to reverse the vote, there is always the planet to save.
Regardless of your politics and Brexit, it seems rather odd to see demonstrating towards environment goals as something to sneer at. Sounds rather like someone sitting in pool of their own shit and piss, and then bragging about it.
Leave Means Lies held a meeting in Harrogate, can't really call it a rally, not enough attendees but because farage was there, they got equal billing on the bbc.
> So there we have it. The guys who lost first time round, want the chance to reverse the result. How is that democratic? How is that listening to and honouring the wishes of the majority? How is that fair? Imagine an FA cup team (say Norwich) winning on a disputed goal being forced to hold a replay because someone complained to the ref. That wouldn’t happen surely?
It is democratic because we now know a lot more about the implications of leaving than we did in 2016.
We were told the UK pays £350million a week to the EU. We now know it does not.
We were told that we would not have to pay anything to the EU when we leave. We now know we will have to make a payment.
We were told, for example, the NI/Ireland border would be easily sorted. Boris even cited the Norway and Sweden border of how simple it could be, because their border is much longer - shows what he knows. We now know it is going to be very complicated and it isn't even close to being agreed.
In 2016 we voted without knowing the implications. As I and some others have said it was similar to giving your consent for an operation and then have the surgeon come along later saying, "There are a number risks, which we didn't understand fully when you gave your consent to the operation, but I'm not going to let you consider these risks and we are going to go ahead with it anyway."
The only objection I have to the march of yesterday is that it should IMO been a march to call for a completely new referendum on remaining or leaving, not just the Brexit deal.
Dave
> Leave Means Lies held a meeting in Harrogate, can't really call it a rally, not enough attendees but because farage was there, they got equal billing on the bbc.
It looked more like a bunch of grumpy pensioners on a day trip to Blackpool than a rally.
The marches are fairly irrelevant, the actual fight will start when there is more clarity on how the negotiation will play out and businesses start triggering their Brexit contingency plans. Everybody has them, nobody wants to use them but fairly soon there's not going to be a lot of choice.
Lighten up Jon, lighten up. The planet will survive. It's humankind that will be wiped out. No bad thing maybe. We haven't been here that long and it looks like we don't know how to do sustainable. As the great man said - it's only a ride. Poor do if the remain sect can't take a poke in the ribs. I loved Tom's description of the Harrogate bash. Spot on. But a strange place to hold it, I thought, as Harrogate from memory was just one of three places in Yorkshire to vote remain. On that count, maybe the People's Vote rally should have been held in Rotherham or somewhere in Lincolnshire -- now that would have been worth going to..
Democracry has always been about regular votes. If only one people's vote is allowed arguably the original vote in the 70s should never have been challenged. As Paul Merton quipped in HIGNFY its really one all at the moment.
700, 000 is a huge number for any UK demonstration, the second largest ever and only 50, 000 below the Stop the War march in 2003 (and hundreds of thousands ahead of 3rd place). I never saw any numbers for the Harrogate march (must have gone down well in a town that voted Remain).
Agree. I mentioned earlier how odd it was they chose Harrogate -one of just three areas in Yorks to vote remain -- and suggested it might have been nice had the Remainer crowd held the march in Rotherham or Lincolnshire to show how much the leave lot had changed their minds.
I like Paul M. if he's right about one all, let's wait another 40 years for the next vote...that's fair surely.
I really don't like the idea of mob rule - and marches are that.
If we are to have referenda on big issues, lets do it digitally and have them all the time on issues like the death penalty, immigration, same sex marriage and see what happens.... I doubt it will be good for the body politic.
My gripe is that Remainers are sore losers, diss the leave voters and claim to know the future...the reality is on here is that they are as bilious, grumpy and rude (if not ruder) than the leave lot.
This might be my last post.
> I like Paul M. if he's right about one all, let's wait another 40 years for the next vote...that's fair surely.
Couldn't agree more. One all. Keep the status quo and have another vote in 40 years.
> This might be my last post.
Bet it's not...
> So there we have it. The guys who lost first time round, want the chance to reverse the result. How is that democratic? How is that listening to and honouring the wishes of the majority? How is that fair?
John, I have never understood the Brexiteers suggestion that having a second referendum would somehow be 'undemocratic'. Surely it is more democratic? The more times you vote, the more democratic the option would be.
If there was a new referendum and the result was 52% remain and 48% leave, wouldn't that suggest that more people now wanted to remain. Why would that not be a valid democratic result?
Obviously you can't have referenda every week, and I am not suggesting that, but I just don't get the logic behind another referendum being 'undemocratic'.
You say it yourself above - the remainers only "want the chance to reverse the result". They don't want to forcibly reverse the result. It doesn't seem an unreasonable suggestion to me and it is quite definitely very 'democratic'.
Alan
Nigel Farage appears to agree with you " "In a 52-48 referendum this would be unfinished business by a long way." 2016
> We were told the UK pays £350million a week to the EU. We now know it does not.
Did you really not know that *prior* to the referendum? If so, you're likely the only one! The validity of that figure was widely discussed at the time.
The people pushing for a second referendum have been doing so since the days after the first. They never accepted the result (they say so - its an invalid result due to lies, stupidity, ignorance, etc, etc). It's the lack of acceptance of the original result - which hasn't even been implemented yet - that's the problem.
> I really don't like the idea of mob rule - and marches are that.
No they're not, you're maybe confusing a march with a riot.
The right to protest peacefully is an essential component of a healthy democracy, your attempt to dress it up as something else looks a lot like an effort to shift public opinion toward curtailing the right to protest against government policy, or is it just 'mob rule' when you disapprove? The current brexit shitshow looks a lot like the tyranny of the majority (indeed one which is probably now a minority!).
> If we are to have referenda on big issues, lets do it digitally and have them all the time on issues like the death penalty, immigration, same sex marriage and see what happens.... I doubt it will be good for the body politic.
You're right it would be a proper mess, as brexit has turned out. In this instance by a series of mistakes and miscalculations parliament has tied its hands so it can no longer act in the national or public interest without going back to the public to conclude the process.
jk
But if the result had been 4% the other way, then another referendum would never have been permitted ever again.
You would not think it democratic if elections were annual with a Labour government in power, and every 40 years when a Conservative government was elected.
> My gripe is that Remainers are sore losers, diss the leave voters and claim to know the future...
I don't know the future and neither do you - that's the issue. It's a great big leap into the unknown that we simply don't need to risk.
As for being a sore loser, it isn't that I wouldn't accept a reasonable alternative that happens not to be my preference, it's that I passionately believe that this is a national act of self-harm to our own country and our European partners too.
The last referendum wasn't a vote for anything. It was a narrow vote against the status quo. My own view is that what amounts to a fundamental change to our constitution should require a 2/3 majority of the vote or 51% majority of the entire electorate (and that if it has legal force, rather than being advisory, this should be clearly stated at the time).
Now we need to vote for something. And that must mean a choice between the final deal on offer, no deal, and seeing sense and staying in.
> The people pushing for a second referendum have been doing so since the days after the first. They never accepted the result (they say so - its an invalid result due to lies, stupidity, ignorance, etc, etc). It's the lack of acceptance of the original result - which hasn't even been implemented yet - that's the problem.
Maybe, that is a different point though.
> But if the result had been 4% the other way, then another referendum would never have been permitted ever again.
I don't think there is any legislation suggesting that. I doubt we would now be talking about it for sure, but that would not have meant that it was off the table forever. What do you base that suggestion on?
Alan
> But if the result had been 4% the other way, then another referendum would never have been permitted ever again.
That isn't true, we live in a democracy, it is imperfect but it is functional. Yes you would have had to re-build pressure for a new exit vote and yes that may have taken a couple of electoral cycles of UKIP driving a wedge into both big parties but that is exactly the pressure which yielded the 2016 vote. It can and no doubt will be applied again if we don't leave next March and probably even if we do to counter the huge pressure that will build to rejoin while we're still tightly enough aligned we can do so with relatively little additional pain.
> You would not think it democratic if elections were annual with a Labour government in power, and every 40 years when a Conservative government was elected.
No but then that is a daft comparison to the brexit situation.
You're acting as if you believe 'Leave' will lose a ratification referendum once the terms of our departure are known and our future options are crystalised. If that is the case given since your brexit is all about democracy wouldn't that be cause for celebration? If 'the people' don't want the brexit that is available they shouldn't have to suffer it.
jk
> The last referendum wasn't a vote for anything. It was a narrow vote against the status quo.
It was like having a General Election with two options:
1) Do you want the current government
2) Do you not want the current government
Alan
That it took 40 years of campaigning to achieve the referendum, even the creation of a new political party that grew large enough to threaten the others.
Feel free to go and start the UKEU party and work for another referendum in 40 years.
Why do you think the result isn't more widely accepted?
FWIW *IF* the leave camp could find a way to brexit without doing serious long term harm to our economy, I for one could have accepted the result. But it doesn't seem that they can.
It's the logic behind why having a new vote now is not democratic, it's not a different point.
> Why do you think the result isn't more widely accepted?
It is widely accepted, it's just not accepted amongst those who were never going to accept it. Some of those people have a huge amount of influence and are using that influence to try and overturn it. It's not a surprise to me that they're doing so.
No, it wasn't. The alternative to being in the EU is *not* being in the EU, we don't need to be in the EU for the state to function. Our state takes over the roles the EU is currently playing. This isn't at all comparable to not having anyone running the country.
> It is widely accepted, it's just not accepted amongst those who were never going to accept it. <
It may be widely accepted but neither Brexiteers nor Remainers can possibly be certain that the majority would or would vote in a particular way in a second referendum.
The current situation is so divisive, the effects so important and at least clearer than they were at the first referendum that a second in/out referendum seems vital (though unlikely to happen partly due to a lack of brave enough politicians). We have frequent general elections and nobody assumes the same party will be reelected. One main reason for not wanting a vote is obviously a fear that the majority might not concur with one's own view.
Incidentally if there was a second vote for Brexit I think far more people, not all of course, would accept and support it even if they had been Remainers.
We did have a referendum on staying in the EU (edit: actually the EEC), 1970s I think. Will Scotland wait another 40 years after Brexit before another independence referendum....of course not.
> It's the logic behind why having a new vote now is not democratic, it's not a different point.
Still doesn't really make sense though does it? Not accepting it would involve everyone, including the ones who voted for Brexit, completely ignoring the result and doing nothing to attempt to implement it. It is patently clear that a lot of effort is being made to try implement the result, in many cases, and one very notable case, by people who actually voted to remain.
You are basing your assertion that the a new referendum would be undemocratic on the fact that it is only being asked for by one side. But, if the question is open, all results are still possible and the end result would be democratic.
Alan
> No, it wasn't. The alternative to being in the EU is *not* being in the EU, we don't need to be in the EU for the state to function. Our state takes over the roles the EU is currently playing. This isn't at all comparable to not having anyone running the country.
This is a pedantic point but my question wasn't saying there should be no government, it was saying that we don't want the current one but we are not suggesting what should be in its place. We were voting for a negative, not an alternative.
Alan
> Feel free to go and start the UKEU party and work for another referendum in 40 years.
I don't need to start another just as you don't have to start another UKIP, the machinery is built. Sadly this is the fight that will waste another decade unless we're faced with a greater cataclysm not of our making.
If we do choose to remain before the clock stops and it subsequently takes another 40 years to secure a leave vote it will not because our democracy is rigged but because this disastrously ill conceived process has been chastening.
I'd appreciate you addressing my point about how you view a ratification referendum, your apparent fear Leave will lose and that such a democratic choice would somehow be undemocratic. It's illogical. It looks a lot like what you really want is this process railroaded through parliament without pause, not because it is the will of the people but because you're afraid it now isn't.
jk
But loathe as I am to agree with John , there's little value in a second vote - perhaps it should be best of three, or best of five. The damage is done. The country will be utterly divided on this for a long time, and as the original OP demonstrates there's plenty of real dislike for the other side.
Easiest solution would be to divide the country.
> It is widely accepted, it's just not accepted amongst those who were never going to accept it. Some of those people have a huge amount of influence and are using that influence to try and overturn it. It's not a surprise to me that they're doing so.
How long do you think that acceptance will weather the loss of manufacturing jobs, the failure of farms, the under staffing of the NHS, deepening austerity, the loss of visa-free travel, soaring commodity prices, sinking pension values, attacks on workers' rights and food standards, motorways clogged with queuing wagons? Will you hold your head high in five years time and proudly declare 'I voted brexit!'. I doubt it.
Anyway, if you genuinely believe we as an electorate have accepted the vote to leave what have you to fear in testing that assertion against what 'leave' actually looks like with a ratification referendum?
If you think we'll vote to leave, good, we should legitimise the decision that will shape our children's and grandchildren's world with a positive informed choice. You've nothing to fear if you're right and May secures a good deal for Britain. But if you call yourself a democrat and you even suspect we might not choose what is actually on offer in the cold light of day then whatever your personal views it is surely right to see that tested.
jk
> But loathe as I am to agree with John , there's little value in a second vote - perhaps it should be best of three, or best of five. The damage is done.
There is no point in re-running the 2016 vote, there is merit in us voting *for* something defined and deliverable.
> The country will be utterly divided on this for a long time, and as the original OP demonstrates there's plenty of real dislike for the other side.
Damage is done, how much damage is still very much to play for.
> Easiest solution would be to divide the country.
I think that's now likely, I just hope (without belief) it can be done without bloodshed.
jk
> Feel free to go and start the UKEU party and work for another referendum in 40 years.
Until recently there were three major pro-EU parties I could vote for.
LibDems collapsed after being shafted by the coalition, the Conservatives seem be in thrall to a vocal anti-EU minority and the Labour party is currently led by a maverick Bennite despite having a long history of pro-EU internationalism and huge majority of Remainers in the PLP.
> It may be widely accepted but neither Brexiteers nor Remainers can possibly be certain that the majority would or would vote in a particular way in a second referendum.
That was true the day after the referendum. It's true the day after any vote. So?
> The current situation is so divisive, the effects so important and at least clearer than they were at the first referendum that a second in/out referendum seems vital (though unlikely to happen partly due to a lack of brave enough politicians). We have frequent general elections and nobody assumes the same party will be reelected. One main reason for not wanting a vote is obviously a fear that the majority might not concur with one's own view.
The divisiveness as far as I'm concerned is being pushed by those who refuse to accept the result. Are you suggesting that a second referendum would remove division? I'd say it would most likely exacerbate it.
> One main reason for not wanting a vote is obviously a fear that the majority might not concur with one's own view.
It's fair to say that's going to be one reason, sure. Fear of losing is why people like Clegg who'd once supported the idea of a referendum changed their minds. It's not the main reason though, the main reason is that there are no good reasons *to* have a new vote (that you don't like the result is not a good reason). There are lots of good reasons not to (impractical, divisive, etc).
> Still doesn't really make sense though does it? Not accepting it would involve everyone, including the ones who voted for Brexit, completely ignoring the result and doing nothing to attempt to implement it. It is patently clear that a lot of effort is being made to try implement the result, in many cases, and one very notable case, by people who actually voted to remain.
How doesn't it make sense? Every effort is being and has been made by those people (like say Kier Starmer, or Anna Soubry - and if May's deal is effectively remaining then May too) to stop the result being implemented.
> You are basing your assertion that the a new referendum would be undemocratic on the fact that it is only being asked for by one side. But, if the question is open, all results are still possible and the end result would be democratic.
I am basing it on the fact that one side (who want remain, who always wanted remain and who do not consider the result as legitimate) are pushing for it, and that their reasoning for it is that they do not consider the first result valid. You're not countering that.
> This is a pedantic point but my question wasn't saying there should be no government, it was saying that we don't want the current one but we are not suggesting what should be in its place. We were voting for a negative, not an alternative.
I understood, my point was that the two situations are not comparable. If you vote out the government and don't vote in a new one you don't have a government. If we leave the EU we just aren't in the EU, a new arrangement is not required.
> How long do you think that acceptance will weather the loss of manufacturing jobs, the failure of farms, the under staffing of the NHS, deepening austerity, the loss of visa-free travel, soaring commodity prices, sinking pension values, attacks on workers' rights and food standards, motorways clogged with queuing wagons? Will you hold your head high in five years time and proudly declare 'I voted brexit!'. I doubt it.
Yes, I will. The rest of your assertions I don't agree with - Are you going to hold your head high and say "I voted for totalitarianism and no democracy!"?.
> Anyway, if you genuinely believe we as an electorate have accepted the vote to leave what have you to fear in testing that assertion against what 'leave' actually looks like with a ratification referendum?
Weeks of more divisiveness, damage to the negotiating position of the government. Leave looks like not being in the EU, it wasn't a vote on the particular deal that would be agreed afterwards, I don't think we should have referendums on every new trade deal signed.
> But if you call yourself a democrat and you even suspect we might not choose what is actually on offer in the cold light of day then whatever your personal views it is surely right to see that tested.
That's the daftest argument I've ever heard. Should I, as a democrat, ask for a new vote any time my views align with the majority that wins the vote? We'll have a new vote for a new government in due course in line with our democratic system, I'm very much happy with that.
The way I see it, part of having a free society is to have the freedom to make bad decisions. (not that I think leaving the EU is necessarily a bad decision but that is beside the point here.) But on balance, let's say it is, being that it seems to be the majority view on here. Is it really a democracy if the people are given a choice but if they make the 'wrong' choice it's then overruled by those who claim to know better, even if they're right? Because right now it seems to be a case of "sorry you picked wrong, why don't you have another go?"
We voted to leave the EU, and set out on our own path and that is what should now happen. As for what the future holds for the UK after we leave, no one knows but for better or worse, we voted to leave and we must stick to it. If after a couple of decades, life in the UK has got gradually and significantly worse and the people are miserable and public demand for rejoining the EU has steadily grown then a time may come when it's appropriate to hold another vote. But before that happens, the choice made in this vote has to be given time to run its course.
> How doesn't it make sense? Every effort is being and has been made by those people (like say Kier Starmer, or Anna Soubry - and if May's deal is effectively remaining then May too) to stop the result being implemented.
It doesn't make sense in that it doesn't have any impact on the democratic validity of a second referendum. That is where we started this and you have still not made any point that suggests that a second referendum would somehow not be democratic.
> I am basing it on the fact that one side (who want remain, who always wanted remain and who do not consider the result as legitimate) are pushing for it, and that their reasoning for it is that they do not consider the first result valid. You're not countering that.
Well I don't think the result wasn't valid, and I am sure many other remainers would agree. I just think that, now we have a better idea of what Brexit will look like, it is worth asking the question again. How is that not democratic?
Alan
I don't imagine for one minute you would have accepted a narrow result the other way as final. Nigel Farage (above) was at least honest about this. Insisting that one vote you personally find favourable is the final say on that matter and all related matters is the antithesis of being a democrat.
> The way I see it, part of having a free society is to have the freedom to make bad decisions. (not that I think leaving the EU is necessarily a bad decision but that is beside the point here.) But on balance, let's say it is, being that it seems to be the majority view on here. Is it really a democracy if the people are given a choice but if they make the 'wrong' choice it's then overruled by those who claim to know better, even if they're right? Because right now it seems to be a case of "sorry you picked wrong, why don't you have another go?"
But it wouldn't be over-ruled by anyone who claimed to know better, it would only be over-ruled if the majority voted to remain. It isn't, "sorry, you picked wrong, have another go". It is, "in the light of the current negotiated deal, do you ('everyone') still think it is in the best interests of the country to leave the EU?"
In what way is that undemocratic?
Alan
PS. Championing Brexit by suggesting we need the right to make bad decisions is one of the best daft pro-Brexit arguments I have heard so far!
> It doesn't make sense in that it doesn't have any impact on the democratic validity of a second referendum. That is where we started this and you have still not made any point that suggests that a second referendum would somehow not be democratic.
I think it does. The reason for doing something does inform whether it's democratic (e.g. if the reason is because you didn't like the previous result and so you want to go again, that's not democratic). If you don't think the reasons matter then of course I won't be able to convince you. What do you think makes something democratic? Just having a vote?
> Well I don't think the result wasn't valid, and I am sure many other remainers would agree. I just think that, now we have a better idea of what Brexit will look like, it is worth asking the question again. How is that not democratic?
Leaving the EU isn't equal to the deal that is reached with the EU.
Imagine all you like, I'd have accepted it, just like I accept the results of elections. I thought we'd lost on the day and I said on here something like "oh well, it's all done now".
> Leaving the EU isn't equal to the deal that is reached with the EU.
... but the deal that is (or isn't) reached with the EU is almost certainly a major factor in many people's assessment of the merits of leaving the EU.
Let's make sure people are still happy with their choice, once the practical implications are known. It could shut those pesky Remoaners up for decades.
> So there we have it. The guys who lost first time round, want the chance to reverse the result. How is that democratic? How is that listening to and honouring the wishes of the majority? How is that fair?
Because the first vote was based on incorrect information and now that the full extent of the false promises and lies have been exposed people have the right to change their minds - honouring that right is true Democracy. Blocking that right is most certainly NOT Democracy.
> I think it does. The reason for doing something does inform whether it's democratic (e.g. if the reason is because you didn't like the previous result and so you want to go again, that's not democratic).
I think plenty of argument has been presented that those asking for a second referendum are basing it on much more than that they just didn't like the original outcome - moving goalposts and all that.
However, there is still fundamentally nothing undemocratic about asking for a referendum even if it is just because you didn't like the result of the first as long as you do it properly and follow set procedures. I am not suggesting this as something to strive for, but if the vote is done properly with a reasonable question, then the reason for doing it doesn't undermine the democratic legitimacy of the end result.
> Leaving the EU isn't equal to the deal that is reached with the EU.
You've lost me here.
Alan
> I thought we'd lost on the day and I said on here something like "oh well, it's all done now".
If you mean that, it's frankly a bizarre approach to politics.
How far do you take this one vote and it's over approach? If hypothetically there was a vote 100:0 in favour of something but before implementation polls suggested a complete reversal of opinion to 0:100 against, would you still insist it had to happen and any second vote would be undemocratic?
> Yes, I will. The rest of your assertions I don't agree with - Are you going to hold your head high and say "I voted for totalitarianism and no democracy!"?.
No because I didn't.
> Weeks of more divisiveness, damage to the negotiating position of the government. Leave looks like not being in the EU, it wasn't a vote on the particular deal that would be agreed afterwards, I don't think we should have referendums on every new trade deal signed.
The government doesn't have a negotiating position, it didn't when you voted for any one of a thousand different futures, it didn't when May triggered A50 without preparing a plan, understanding the consequences, preparing business and the public sector and managing public expectation. It is stumbling toward disaster trapped by poor choices, propelled by ineptitude and a handful of malevolent wreckers.
> That's the daftest argument I've ever heard. Should I, as a democrat, ask for a new vote any time my views align with the majority that wins the vote? We'll have a new vote for a new government in due course in line with our democratic system, I'm very much happy with that.
You clearly fear a ratification referendum would result in a vote to remain yet you contend such a democratic decision, a choice between defined deliverable futures would would be undemocratic. That better, we should instead press on with or without public support.
If you want a brexit that sticks it has to be one the electorate chooses, not that is thrust upon them by charlatans. That will be unpicked in no time. How do you guarantee they deliver on their promises? Hold them to account!
jk
> It's not the main reason though, the main reason is that there are no good reasons *to* have a new vote (that you don't like the result is not a good reason).
There are lots of good reasons to have a new vote.
a. The fact that what leaving the EU would mean was never specified in the first referendum reframing a three way issue Hard Brexit/EEA/Remain as a two way issue.
b. The way Brexiteers in the Tory party redefined 'Leave the EU' to exclude an EEA option staying in the single market and customs union in contradiction to what was said during the referendum and the views of Cameron who stated he would remain PM whatever the result.
c. The rampant lying, cheating and dodgy financing of the leave campaign.
d. The exclusion of EU citizens from voting while other immigrant groups more sympathetic to leave were allowed to vote.
e. The fact that the negotiations have been a complete disaster and the actual outcome is pretty much as predicted by the Remain campaign.
f. The fact that the demographics have changed since 2016 and calculations now predict a small majority for remain if the 2016 referendum was held again based simply on older voters who were predominantly Leave dying and younger voters who are predominantly Remain joining the electorate.
g. The fact that the Leavers arguments about millions of new muslim immigrants if we stayed in the EU based on the Syrian refugee crisis at the time of the first referendum and lies about Turkey joining the EU have been proved to be invalid.
h. If we have a new vote and decide to stay in the EU or something like the EEA we can avoid the complete economic havoc which is certain to occur in the first few years of a hard Brexit. The 'we decided to shoot ourselves in the foot so we have to go ahead and do it' argument is moronic.
> The way I see it, part of having a free society is to have the freedom to make bad decisions. (not that I think leaving the EU is necessarily a bad decision but that is beside the point here.) But on balance, let's say it is, being that it seems to be the majority view on here. Is it really a democracy if the people are given a choice but if they make the 'wrong' choice it's then overruled by those who claim to know better, even if they're right? Because right now it seems to be a case of "sorry you picked wrong, why don't you have another go?"
That isn't what a ratification referendum does. If 'the people' still want a known, defined and deliverable version of brexit they're welcome to it, if they don't then they're not being over ruled by anyone but themselves.
> We voted to leave the EU, and set out on our own path and that is what should now happen. As for what the future holds for the UK after we leave, no one knows but for better or worse, we voted to leave and we must stick to it.
Even if it turns out it's going to cost hundreds of thousands of jobs, people's homes, perhaps their lives? Where do you draw the line, at what point would you turn back from this course deeming it not worth the pain?
> If after a couple of decades, life in the UK has got gradually and significantly worse and the people are miserable and public demand for rejoining the EU has steadily grown then a time may come when it's appropriate to hold another vote. But before that happens, the choice made in this vote has to be given time to run its course.
What's special about a couple of decades, if public opinion is valid then, why not today, or in a year or three?
jk
"Remainers are sore losers"
Look, this ain't a football match nore a crikit match neither!
The vote wasn't asked for by Remainers. I had no option but to vote but get this, it's not a game - it's a war over what we want and there ain't no such thing as giving up "as a good loser" when there is so much at steak! (not that I've had one for a long time)
> It is widely accepted, it's just not accepted amongst those who were never going to accept it. Some of those people have a huge amount of influence and are using that influence to try and overturn it. It's not a surprise to me that they're doing so.
Let me rephrase the question: why do you think in the 2 years since the referendum most people who voted remain have not changed their minds?
> That isn't what a ratification referendum does. If 'the people' still want a known, defined and deliverable version of brexit they're welcome to it, if they don't then they're not being over ruled by anyone but themselves.
I don't recall the option on my voting slip being "a defined, deliverable Brexit", we voted to either stay in or leave the EU, that was all.
The vote was simply saying do you want the UK to carry on the path we're on now, the nature of which we know about right now but as to where it'll lead us, no one really knows but some of the possibilities are not ones some people will like. Or do you want to take off our constraints, and walk our own path, make our own way in the world? It may be difficult, there is no guarantee of success but at least we get to make our own choices. Many people chose the latter and I doubt anyone really thought leaving would be guaranteed prosperity but they were willing to take a chance because they didn't like what they had.
> Even if it turns out it's going to cost hundreds of thousands of jobs, people's homes, perhaps their lives? Where do you draw the line, at what point would you turn back from this course deeming it not worth the pain?
There is no realistic point where I'd say we should turn back, we made a choice, for better or worse we must now carry it out otherwise it undermines our right to choose in the first place and nothing is worse than that. Besides, although I expect some short-term disruption during the change as business adapts. I still don't see any reason to forecast doom for the UK post-Brexit.
> What's special about a couple of decades, if public opinion is valid then, why not today, or in a year or three?
Because firstly it can't be valid yet because brexit hasn't happened yet. The choice was made, so the change must happen. Once the change happens then we can see how things play out, and in my view to do that will take 15 to 20 years.
Think of a general election, where the party you oppose wins. We don't then take a couple of years with the old party still in power while it's opponents spell out all the doom and gloom "what if's" about the party "the people" voted for if they actually took office until we decide just to stick with what we know even if it's not that great.
Thankfully that doesn't happen because power is changed within a day or two. Unfortunately, with the EU it takes (at least) two years so it allows time for those who wanted to remain to try and change things before they even happen. You should consider it a done deal the instant the vote was count was confirmed. The die is cast, it's just, in this case, it takes a long time to roll before you see the result.
> Think of a general election, where the party you oppose wins.
Strange. Here was me thinking we have regular elections to see if people have changed their minds.
> No because I didn't.
And I don’t agree with your characterisation of my position.
> The government doesn't have a negotiating position, it didn't when you voted for any one of a thousand different futures
I knew there wasn’t an agreed deal when I voted.
> I think plenty of argument has been presented that those asking for a second referendum are basing it on much more than that they just didn't like the original outcome - moving goalposts and all that.
That's a bit vague. You said you didn't understand the reasons people think it's undemocratic, I've explained my reasons.
> However, there is still fundamentally nothing undemocratic about asking for a referendum even if it is just because you didn't like the result of the first as long as you do it properly and follow set procedures. I am not suggesting this as something to strive for, but if the vote is done properly with a reasonable question, then the reason for doing it doesn't undermine the democratic legitimacy of the end result.
If Cameron had called another referendum the next day, and kept doing so until he got the result he wanted, and then not called any more that would have followed the procedures, and it'd have been undemocratic for exactly the same reason.
> You've lost me here.
The vote was not on the deal with the EU, it was on leaving.
Who knows. For many of them they simply do not understand the other side's reasons and will not make any effort to do so, many have good reasons for their decision (as they see things) and just didn't accept the other side's case. Either way, it doesn't matter. Just like it doesn't matter that most Labour voters won't have changed their minds and would now vote Tory.
> If Cameron had called another referendum the next day, and kept doing so until he got the result he wanted, and then not called any more that would have followed the procedures, and it'd have been undemocratic for exactly the same reason.
No it wouldn't, it would have simply been impractical.
> a. The fact that what leaving the EU would mean was never specified in the first referendum reframing a three way issue Hard Brexit/EEA/Remain as a two way issue.
That's life. That was known when the vote was made.
> b. The way Brexiteers in the Tory party redefined 'Leave the EU' to exclude an EEA option staying in the single market and customs union in contradiction to what was said during the referendum and the views of Cameron who stated he would remain PM whatever the result.
This is a lie. It was repeatedly argued that making our own trade deals - only possible outside the customs union and single market - was a good reason to leave.
> c. The rampant lying, cheating and dodgy financing of the leave campaign.
And the lying, cheating and dodgy financing of the remain campaign?
> d. The exclusion of EU citizens from voting while other immigrant groups more sympathetic to leave were allowed to vote.
Changing the demos to get the result that you want is of course highly democratic.
> e. The fact that the negotiations have been a complete disaster and the actual outcome is pretty much as predicted by the Remain campaign.
We didn't vote on this, we voted to leave and took the risk that we wouldn't get what we wanted in the negotiations. Which of course are not over.
> f. The fact that the demographics have changed since 2016 and calculations now predict a small majority for remain if the 2016 referendum was held again based simply on older voters who were predominantly Leave dying and younger voters who are predominantly Remain joining the electorate.
Presumably on this basis we should have new votes on all issues daily?
> g. The fact that the Leavers arguments about millions of new muslim immigrants if we stayed in the EU based on the Syrian refugee crisis at the time of the first referendum and lies about Turkey joining the EU have been proved to be invalid.
This is made up nonsense.
> h. If we have a new vote and decide to stay in the EU or something like the EEA we can avoid the complete economic havoc which is certain to occur in the first few years of a hard Brexit. The 'we decided to shoot ourselves in the foot so we have to go ahead and do it' argument is moronic.
Right, you don't accept the result because you don't like the decision.
You think that holding votes until you get the result you desire would be democratic?
> Nigel Farage appears to agree with you " "In a 52-48 referendum this would be unfinished business by a long way." 2016
You're way behind the times, Farage was on Newsnight the other day and apparently 52-48 is now decisive. At least Evan Davis nailed him on his pre-referendum statements about staying in the EEA / Efta. Surprise, surprise he didn't get a straight answer out of the gobshite.
I think holding a sequence of votes on the same broad question if there is reasonable reason to think public views have changes is democratic. In fact I think not doing is undemocratic.
I also think making radical irreversible changes on the basis of tiny majorities is reckless and undemocratic. Much better would be a threshold of a %age of the electorate or voters, say 60%, to separate signal from noise. This is a common approach elsewhere.
> I don't recall the option on my voting slip being "a defined, deliverable Brexit", we voted to either stay in or leave the EU, that was all.
It's highly disingenuous to claim that there were no implied outcomes of a Brexit vote. We spent months listening to politicians and other charlatans selling possibilities and getting voters excited about how much better everyone's lives could and would be. Almost all of this sales guff has been proved to be an impossible ideal (or, to Remainers, not even an ideal at all). Now the snake oil salesmen are reduced to claiming it won't be a total disaster, or that in 50 years it might recover to current levels. That's why the People's Vote is important, because as long as we only have a result based on implied outcomes we now know to be impossible, the genuine strength of support for the reality of what Brexit actually entails is unknown.
> You're way behind the times, Farage was on Newsnight the other day and apparently 52-48 is now decisive.
So, in light of subsequent developments, he reconsidered and changed his mind?
That sounds like a good option to offer voters too.
My example was that he called a new vote the next day and then just kept calling them until he got the result he wanted. You don't think that's undemocratic?
What makes something democratic to you?
> Strange. Here was me thinking we have regular elections to see if people have changed their minds.
But not before the thing they voted for has been implemented and run its course. As I said above, we voted, leave we should leave the EU. If having left and tried to make a go of it we decided being outside the EU wasn't worth it (which would take a couple of decades to conclude, by all means, we can have another vote.
You don't vote in a general election, then on results night decide oh no we don't actually want that winning party in power, let's hold off and re-run the election again tomorrow hoping for a different outcome. You wait five years, let the people decide if they liked that parties rule or not then vote again.
As John said in the original post, this 'people march' thing would have carried much more weight if it had been made up of a significant number of leave voters having realised the horror of what they were all duped into voting for and are begging for forgiveness and for the exit processes to be halted. But it wasn't, it was just remain voters who didn't want to leave in the first place, complaining about how much they still don't want to leave.
> I don't recall the option on my voting slip being "a defined, deliverable Brexit", we voted to either stay in or leave the EU, that was all.
Great, I'm with you, Norway it is then.
> I don't recall the option on my voting slip being "a defined, deliverable Brexit", we voted to either stay in or leave the EU, that was all... Many people chose the latter and I doubt anyone really thought leaving would be guaranteed prosperity but they were willing to take a chance because they didn't like what they had.
What if it turns out by leaving they are guaranteed pain, the loss of their income, a rise in the cost of living. Should they just suffer that for your hope that their pain is a price worth paying or should they be asked if that is actually what they want?
> There is no realistic point where I'd say we should turn back...
Wow, that is insane. Thanks for clearing up where you're coming from though, it helps.
> Because firstly it can't be valid yet because brexit hasn't happened yet. The choice was made, so the change must happen.
Don't be ridiculous, we're free to choose to press on or change our minds at any point as the available information changes. There is nothing at all undemocratic in that, there is however in pretending otherwise in order to effect change that no longer has public support.
> Think of a general election, where the party you oppose wins. We don't then take a couple of years with the old party still in power while it's opponents spell out all the doom and gloom "what if's" about the party "the people" voted for if they actually took office until we decide just to stick with what we know even if it's not that great.
This isn't a general election and this isn't a period of scaremongering and what ifs, the party that delivered the referendum has been in power since it, they have since been elected with a weak mandate to deliver it and they have been working to do so. In the terms of your example we've had a couple of years of the new government and it is not looking like they can deliver on their overblown pledges, they need to do better or they'll be gone and their changes undone in the next cycle. Brexit isn't however an election, it is massive constitutional reform with huge economic and security implications. It is also naturally a multi-stage process. It is entirely reasonable that as our options decrease and our future path becomes clearer with the conclusion of each stage we review our position and that public and or parliamentary consent is sought. Through a series of mistakes parliament has tied its hands so it cannot discharge its duty without further reference to the electorate. We may decide to press on, turn back or pursue another option.
The one option that it appear the public might actually support (that parliament probably can't and that isn't advocated by any party) is essentially EEA membership as for Norway and Iceland, this resolves the issues in Ireland, does not drop a grenade into our economy and positions us outside the EU as per your simplistic vote. It's pointless but it is the only position few enough people hate to bring pragmatic leavers and reluctant remainers together in sufficient numbers.
jk
'made up of a significant number of leave voters having realised the horror of what they were all duped into voting for'
You can't know that there WASN'T a significant proportion of such people there.
And at a rough guess, any Brexiteers living in N Ireland; or working for Airbus; or working for Honda; or Jaguar Rover; or Unilever; or any UK based airline; or anyone working in the food industry; is SERIOUSLY reconsidering their position right now.
> And I don’t agree with your characterisation of my position.
My characterisation of your position? I assumed you voted leave, are you telling me you didn't? I doubt you will be crowing about it when the reality sinks in, and people are suffering, we're being mugged.
> I knew there wasn’t an agreed deal when I voted.
Yes and what if you *hate* the terms we agree to leave on, they're nothing like what you've been lead to believe you were getting? You're happy to just suck it up, too proud to do anything else?
What if we get full EEA membership, that's outside the EU, would you be quietly satisfied with that? Out means out after all, it doesn't mean anything else and that's all you voted for.
What if we don't reach a deal of any kind, talks just break down during the implementation phase and time runs out, there is economic armagedon, the ports gridlock, aircraft grounded, banks close, multinational businesses will by that point have already have pulled the trigger on their relocation plans. Will you just sit back with your food parcel and say 'I voted brexit, out means out!'.
Bollocks you will but if you don't take control of this, make May bring you what you were sold there is a real risk this could happen.
jk
Changing the demos to get the result that you want is of course highly democratic.
There are about 3.5 million UK Citizens living overseas for more than 15 years who were not allowed to vote. It has been a two-times manifesto promise of the Conservatives (2015 and 2017) to return the franchise to these people, many of whom will be the most affected by Brexit.
How democratic is that?
> Right, you don't accept the result because you don't like the decision.
I don't accept the result because the process which led to it was deeply flawed, I don't like the decision because it is a. moronic and b. damaging to my family and my business.
Unless we head this off before Brexit happens we will get 6 months to a year of absolute economic chaos similar to that which Greece went through after which it will get reversed anyway. I could do without the chaos.
I'm not aware of any manifesto pledge - link? I don't think people who left the country 15 years ago should get to vote. I find it bizarre that I get a vote in US elections despite having left the US (age 1) over 30 years ago.
Not that this has any relation to what tom_in_edinburgh said - he said that we should let EU citizens who are not UK citizens vote, quite clearly because he reckons they'd vote to remain and that's the result he wants. Highly democratic, of course.
> My characterisation of your position? I assumed you voted leave, are you telling me you didn't? I doubt you will be crowing about it when the reality sinks in, you're being mugged.
Your assertions about what will happen are not what I think, I did not make my decision based on your understanding of the world. Absolutely I voted leave, I'm not hiding that.
> Yes and what if you *hate* the terms we agree to leave on, they're nothing like what you've been lead to believe you were getting? You're happy to just suck it up, too proud to do anything else?
Well I wouldn't vote for May again. What's your point?
> What if we get full EEA membership, that's outside the EU, would you be quietly satisfied with that? Out means out after all, it doesn't mean anything else and that's all you voted for.
If we don't actually leave the EU then obviously I would not be happy with the result, no.
> What if we don't reach a deal of any kind, talks just break down during the implementation phase there is economic armagedon, the ports close, aircraft grounded, banks closed, multinational businesses will by that point have already have pulled the trigger on their relocation plans. Will you just sit back with your food parcel and say 'I voted brexit, out means out!'.
Armageddon!? Your made up nonsense isn't truth.
If in ten years I've changed my mind then I might well vote to join the EU in a future vote. I could be wrong, of course. I don't think I am.
> Bollocks you will but if you don't take control of this, make May bring you what you were sold there is a real risk this could happen.
I don't think you'd be at all happy with May bringing me what I was sold. Practically I have to rely on MPs doing this, of course.
> My example was that he called a new vote the next day and then just kept calling them until he got the result he wanted.
The until he wanted but isn't on I agree but that isn't relevant here.
> What makes something democratic to you?
There is no simple answer but broadly a combination of honest, open debate and media; strong institutions (education, government, regulators professional societies etc); rule of law; effective, representative government and so on. It certainly isn't a single, unalterable event.
> I'm not aware of any manifesto pledge - link? I don't think people who left the country 15 years ago should get to vote. I find it bizarre that I get a vote in US elections despite having left the US (age 1) over 30 years ago.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/expat/expatnews/11539537/Expat-voting-rights-wh...
https://www.conservativesabroad.org/node/5136
You're entitled to your opinion, however the reason for not giving people the vote has been given that it's increased workload for the electoral system, rather than some constitutional principal. Labour routinely oppose this on party political grounds that overseas voters are perceived to vote / donate more to the Conservative Party.
> Right, you don't accept the result because you don't like the decision.
Nearly. Personally I am genuinely fearful of the consequences of disorderly brexit. I have not heard any leaver yet give a credible indication as to how (for example) we would avoid 15 mile queues of lorries heading into Dover. We are looking at the very real prospect of food shortages and medicines running out and leave has not put forward any workable proposal to mitigate the risks, and until they can and do, I will be supporting remain.
> Not that this has any relation to what tom_in_edinburgh said - he said that we should let EU citizens who are not UK citizens vote, quite clearly because he reckons they'd vote to remain and that's the result he wants. Highly democratic, of course.
The electorate for the referendum was fixed to exclude long term EU residents in the UK and UK citizens who have lived for a long time in the EU but include people from non-EU countries who might be sympathetic to Leave because Leavers have pull within the Tory party and Cameron thought he'd win anyway and didn't need to fight on the details.
EU citizens got to vote in the Scottish Independence referendum, they get to vote in EU parliament elections and they get to vote in local government elections. They should get to vote in Westminster elections too but the Tories are scared of the consequences.
> Your assertions about what will happen are not what I think, I did not make my decision based on your understanding of the world. Absolutely I voted leave, I'm not hiding that.
My question was if that happened would you still be crowing about wanting out whatever the cost? You might not believe there will be economic harm but that does rather fly in the face of just about every informed opinion. You're being told loud and clear by business, by banks, by think tanks, by the civil service, by foreign allies and even by the very government implementing it that there is no beneficial version of brexit, they all do harm to differing degrees but they all harm the most deprived regions the worst.
> If we don't actually leave the EU then obviously I would not be happy with the result, no.
The EEA is outside the EU. You pretend otherwise but in so doing you're admitting brexit does not mean brexit, any old version of out would not do. So how are you going to hold May's government to account, to make sure this isn't what you end up with?
> I don't think you'd be at all happy with May bringing me what I was sold. Practically I have to rely on MPs doing this, of course.
I'm not happy about any of this but I would like to make sure that those who will have to live with their decision really do know and understand what it is they're getting, if they still want it good for them, I'll start a new life elsewhere, if they don't then good for them and me because I'd quite like to stay.
jk
It's a bit like buying a house. You live in a perfectly nice modern new build house with your extended family, yes the neighbors on the estate can be a bit sniffy sometimes but generally things are okay. One day whilst walking through town you see your dream house advertised in a local estate agents window. It's a Georgian mansion style place. You go inside, the agent talks you into paying the house a visit and promises that despite being an older house, the solar panels on the roof will give you zero energy bills. You visit and at first glance it really all seems great, the potential new neighbors even seem pleasant.
You ask each family member what they want to do (except young Alistair - he's only 15 so is too young to have an opinion) and by a narrow margin, the family agree to move. Grandpa is particularly keen to move as he has never liked the current new build and prefers his more traditional houses.
You put in an offer, have this accepted and put your existing house up for sale. The survey on the new house however throws up a whole unexpected catalogue of structural horrors, the solar panels will all need replacing and the searches reveal that there's a new three lane bypass to be built soon right at the bottom of the garden. The potential new neighbors whom had seemed nice at first seem also seem to like playing loud drum 'n' bass well into the small hours.
Alistair is now 16 and in the middle of his GCSE coursework, whilst Grandpa, who was the keenest to move has sadly passed away.
What do you do? Do you press on regardless - after all the family took a vote to move? It would be undemocratic to reverse that decision surely? Or once the facts are clear do you re-evaluate your position and possibly to decide to stay put?
> This is a lie. It was repeatedly argued that making our own trade deals - only possible outside the customs union and single market - was a good reason to leave.
That's weasel worded. It was repeatedly argued that we could negotiate our own trade deals (which is a bit like saying starting a footy match with 9 players is an advantage but never mind that for now). It was not emphasised that we could only do this outside the customs union and single market, and the consequences of that.... there was lots of 'cake and eat it', lots of German carmakers and French winemakers demanding a good deal for the UK (always irrelevant).
There were too many contradictions in what was 'repeatedly' said for any side to claim what the 'true' Brexit is. If we end up with EEA membership or close, you can be content that it is what you voted for. If that doesn't suit start campaigning for a 2nd vote.
Nice analogy except that the members of the family that wanted to stay put kept telling everyone that the solar panels wouldn’t work and they had a report from a solar panel expert stating this as well as a report from a solicitor saying that a by-pass was going to be built which they waved around ineffectively before the vote.
Alan
> EU citizens got to vote in the Scottish Independence referendum, they get to vote in EU parliament elections and they get to vote in local government elections. They should get to vote in Westminster elections too but the Tories are scared of the consequences. <
16-17 year olds were also included in Scottish referendum.......haven't heard the logical reason for their exclusion from the later EU one.
If people are so sure Brexit is a good thing, why are they so shit scared of another vote, surely, if it was good for us before more people will be convinced so more people will vote for it?
> I don't accept the result because the process which led to it was deeply flawed, I don't like the decision because it is a. moronic and b. damaging to my family and my business.
I don't think that's fair and I don't think we will get anywhere with the Brexiteers who are now wavering (the sorts who thought a Norway-style Brexit was on the cards) by lumping them in with the truly moronic hard-Brexiteers (I lose all sympathy with that arm of the movement given they cannot muster a coherent case to support their argument no matter how much rope you give them).
Like it or not, 50% of the population support some version of Brexit and regardless of the way it was publicised would have likely reached that conclusion regardless. Go back in time and eliminate the absolute lies, the result would probably not be that different. Farage was right in both directions - a slim result would mean unfinished business.
What is different now is we are nearing the point of having concrete evidence to support skepticism of Brexit. That simply didn't exist before. Projections, guess-work, best assumptions, yes. But no hard evidence.
You have to accept the result. 52% voted not to remain. You you can also argue the dynamics have now radically changed.
It is clear there are three camps; - hard-Brexiteers who (surprisingly to me) view a Norway style Brexit as being a Remain, - Remainers who view a Norway style Brexit as being a Leave, - and a middle ground of Brexiteers who might swing either way.
No matter which way you cut it (i) Remain as a single bloc has a majority, and (ii) to cure the divisions we need to find an accommodation with the middle-way Brexiteers. Otherwise there is a real risk that they will fall to the Hard-Brexit side of the force and this problem becomes intractable.
> If people are so sure Brexit is a good thing, why are they so shit scared of another vote, surely, if it was good for us before more people will be convinced so more people will vote for it?
I have yet to hear a single response to that whenever I have asked the question, except for whataboutery and evasion.
They know, we know, everyone knows why. Hence why they have shifted to veiled threats to unrest if denied their choice.
Although in your analogy the old house is not the same either – the sniffy neighbours are now openly hostile for deserting them, and are determined to make you pay for all the aggro the move is causing whether you decide to stay or not!
Pragmatism reigns, we can almost certainly go back reputation dented but nothing more if we were to decide to before March. Behind closed doors I'm sure there'd be a chill and some favours called in but the EU will not be beligerant or punitive if Britain is willing to stay, it is the best solution all around and they know if it happens it'll be a knife edge decision.
Jk
> EU citizens got to vote in the Scottish Independence referendum, they get to vote in EU parliament elections and they get to vote in local government elections. They should get to vote in Westminster elections too
That would put us out of step with other EU countries who only allow citizens to vote in national elections.
I am all for staying in the EU but gerrymandering the electorate would not be very democratic.
> 16-17 year olds were also included in Scottish referendum.......haven't heard the logical reason for their exclusion from the later EU one.
The historical convention is that there is a single voting age for any election/referendum. Contrary to your statement, it would be illogical to try to vary that age per electoral event. (And if you did want to vary it, why choose 16? Why not 15? Or, for that matter, 21? Etc. etc.)
The Scottish situation is/was different: see https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Voting_age#Scotland
> Although in your analogy the old house is not the same either – the sniffy neighbours are now openly hostile for deserting them, and are determined to make you pay for all the aggro the move is causing whether you decide to stay or not!
The snag with your extra bit of analogy is that it's absolutely untrue. 100% untrue. Particularly the idea that they want to hurt us if we decide to stay. The neighbours having been doing all they can to make us stay, and have said, time and again, they would welcome us back. We, meanwhile, have been daubing rude slogans all over their front gate telling everyone what shits they are.
> Did you really not know that *prior* to the referendum? If so, you're likely the only one! The validity of that figure was widely discussed at the time.
Fair point and yes I did know that was not correct. While it was widely discussed at the time the Leave campaign. largely in the guise of Boris Johnson, continued to use it as a figure and I can imagine quite a few believed it. I know of some people who accepted it and nothing I said would change their mind.
Dave
> That would put us out of step with other EU countries who only allow citizens to vote in national elections.
Maybe it would - I don't know the electoral laws in all the nations of the EU but I still think giving EU citizens who have made a home in the UK a vote would be the right thing to do.
The 3 million EU citizens in the UK despite being highly productive are treated with contempt by government because they have no vote in Westminster elections. Less well integrated immigrant groups which cluster together in specific constituencies and are allowed to vote in Westminster elections get far more attention because they can influence elections.
A few million relatively young, relatively well educated, largely non-religious voters with experience of modern democratic systems would be a very useful influx of wisdom into the UK electorate.
> I am all for staying in the EU but gerrymandering the electorate would not be very democratic.
Nobody would call it gerrymandering when women were given the vote but it almost certainly influenced elections in favour of the party who made the change. It's the same principle: if the system can be made fairer by including a constituency which is presently ignored it should be.
I was on the march... it was very good natured and yes, the sun did shine, it was a lovely day, topped up my tan as well... we were pretty near the front and the only time we saw any trouble the whole day when the police had to get involved was when a particularly nasty group of 'leavers' started hurling abuse and missiles at those of us marching... says it all really…
> The snag with your extra bit of analogy is that it's absolutely untrue. 100% untrue. Particularly the idea that they want to hurt us if we decide to stay.
Not even hurt us a tiny bit?
Wasn’t it was one of the Remain arguments at the referendum that there was no going back because of the difficulties of reapplying? – no rebates/vetos, and accepting Schengen, the Euro etc.
> Not even hurt us a tiny bit?
> Wasn’t it was one of the Remain arguments at the referendum that there was no going back because of the difficulties of reapplying? – no rebates/vetos, and accepting Schengen, the Euro etc.
It will be more difficult if we reapply, basically because they will have to treat us in the same way as others countries seeking membership, however that is different from us changing our mind and deciding not to leave in the first place. Although from a legal perspective, we may fast reaching a point where we have left, even if we haven't properly left. If we enter a transition period, that will mean we have left, even if to all intents and purposes we are benefitting from and subject to the rules of the EU.
Those are just the hard facts of the way all the agreements are set out. (Note that word 'agreement'. Another nasty word for some people, like 'truth'.) You might just as well complain, if you set off up the Indian Face, without adequate forethought or skill, that the climb 'wanted' to hurt you if you fall off.
> Not even hurt us a tiny bit?
> Wasn’t it was one of the Remain arguments at the referendum that there was no going back because of the difficulties of reapplying? – no rebates/vetos, and accepting Schengen, the Euro etc.
Getting into Schengen and the Euro would be great. It would make trips to Font less of a hassle for starters.
The UK appears to be unique (certainly within the EU) in allowing any non citizens to vote in national elections or constitutional referendums. The general case within the EU is that EU citizens may vote in local elections but only citizens of the state concerned can vote in national elections.
Allowing a vote to non British EU citizens (who would remain EU citizens whatever the outcome) to decide whether or not British citizens remained EU citizens would be a deliberate alteration of the electorate to achieve a desired result.
Imagine for a moment that you sincerely wished to leave the EU, for whatever reason, would that alteration seem reasonable?
The difference with the vote for women is that prior to that about 50% of British citizens were able to vote upon the fate of all British citizens. Full adult emancipation rectified an inequality.
> Imagine for a moment that you sincerely wished to leave the EU, for whatever reason, would that alteration seem reasonable?
I don't think it is reasonable that migrants from Germany have less rights than migrants from Pakistan or Somalia or Australia. As Europeans living in Europe they had no reason to acquire British citizenship. Then a bunch of dicks decide they want to turn the clock back 40 years and people who have been living here for 20 years have no right to have their views represented on a decision that will change their whole life.
Nobody would dare rewrite the status of other immigrant groups like that: they'd be too scared.
> The difference with the vote for women is that prior to that about 50% of British citizens were able to vote upon the fate of all British citizens. Full adult emancipation rectified an inequality.
No representation for EU citizens but representation for people from Commonwealth countries is also an inequality - and one that suits the Leavers.
> Not that this has any relation to what tom_in_edinburgh said - he said that we should let EU citizens who are not UK citizens vote, quite clearly because he reckons they'd vote to remain and that's the result he wants. Highly democratic, of course.
No more or less so than for example allowing UK resident commonwealth citizens to vote in the 2016 referendum.
FWIW I think the rules for a ratification referendum should be the same as for the first to head off this kind of bellyaching in the hope a decisive result either way could settle the issue down for a while. Unfortunately that still leaves millions of people most intimately effected by this decision without a say in their future but that die is cast.
jk
> the climb 'wanted' to hurt you if you fall off.
Oh come on, that's ridiculous! It's quite clear that the climb is quite uncaring and that gravity and the ground will be conspiring to punish and hurt you, lurking like vultures while you climb.
> Wasn’t it was one of the Remain arguments at the referendum that there was no going back because of the difficulties of reapplying? – no rebates/vetos, and accepting Schengen, the Euro etc.
That's not designed to inflict pain. Those are the rules of application as they stand today. After March those are the rules we play by or have to negotiate around trading something else in exchange for exemptions if any are negotiable, Schengen likely would as it is a specific solution to a specific problem, one that isn't so relevant to the UK given Britain's lack of EU land border and pre-existing Schengen-like bilateral agreement with Eire. The rest of it... who knows, we'll be in a right mess if it comes to this.
Until 19th March we are a full member, we can stop the A50 on our existing terms. The remaining uncertainty is whether that needs 28 rubber stamps on the letter or just one. Soon we'll have the answer to that from the ECJ, no thanks to our contemptible excuse for a government.
jk
> As Europeans living in Europe they had no reason to acquire British citizenship.
They did if they wished to vote in a British national election, as likewise would a German living in France or any other EU country.
> Nobody would dare rewrite the status of other immigrant groups like that: they'd be too scared.
> No representation for EU citizens but representation for people from Commonwealth countries is also an inequality - and one that suits the Leavers.
It is an inequality, the remedy is to fall in line with the rest of the EU (and probably the world) and only allow citizens to vote in national elections. Only citizens have nowhere else to go when stupid decisions are made.
For avoidance of doubt I would like to see a federal Europe with the UK part of it.
> No more or less so than for example allowing UK resident commonwealth citizens to vote in the 2016 referendum.
Sticking with existing rules is no more or less democratic than changing the rules to engineer a specific result? Laughable.
Tom_in_edinburgh - the number of commonwealth voters was less than the difference between remain and leave, so it made no difference. Commonwealth voters are also largely not white, or Irish, and non whites and Irish generally voted remain. How it suits leave to include them I can’t imagine. Expats though are largely Tory (as pointed out above) and Tories largely voted leave.
> Only citizens have nowhere else to go when stupid decisions are made.
An EU citizen who has lived more than twenty years in the UK and has kids at school, a house, a career and their pension tied up in the UK doesn't have much of an option to leave either.
It's fundamentally unfair to people who have built their lives round the freedoms provided by the EU to unilaterally remove those rights and not even give them a vote when the decision is taken. The only fair recompense for the loss of EU citizenship rights within the UK would be an unconditional offer of UK citizenship in addition to their EU citizenship.
> Expats though are largely Tory (as pointed out above) and Tories largely voted leave.
Expats may prefer the Tories economic policies but it seems highly unlikely that they would be in favour of losing their EU freedom of movement rights.
> The only fair recompense for the loss of EU citizenship rights within the UK would be an unconditional offer of UK citizenship in addition to their EU citizenship.
I'd quite like to be compensated for the loss of my rights as an EU citizen too.
I wonder how I could raise this with the ECJ.
The vast majority of expats do not live in the EU, biggest single countries with expats are Australia, the US and Canada, in that order. Can't imagine they're particularly bothered about free movement rights.
I said I think we should stick with the same rules as the 2016 referendum for any future referenda on related issues specifically to sidestep this kind of inane bellyaching.
My point is that the inclusion of UK resident Comonwealth citizens in the franchise was no more or less 'democratic' than the exclusion of UK resident EU citizens, these are choices we make for a variety of reasons, whether they have precedent or not is irrelevant. There is no logical reason to include one group but exclude the other, it was a political choice (necessity really). It was IMO wrong but there we go, we have to live with it as we may also have to live with the unfurling disaster of brexit.
jk
> An EU citizen who has lived more than twenty years in the UK and has kids at school, a house, a career and their pension tied upThe only fair recompense for the loss of EU citizenship rights within the UK would be an unconditional offer of UK citizenship in addition to their EU citizenship.
Yes but not unconditional. (serious criminal records for example)
>> he said that we should let EU citizens who are not UK citizens vote, quite clearly because he reckons they'd vote to remain and that's the result he wants. Highly democratic, of course.
> No more or less so than for example allowing UK resident commonwealth citizens to vote in the 2016 referendum.
My comment and your response. It is definitely less democratic to change who can vote in order to achieve a certain result rather than sticking with the existing franchise. That's why it'd cause people to complain (what you called bellyaching), because it would be undemocratic.
If you want to talk about who ought to be allowed to vote in general then I'd say it should be just citizens, no one else, but that's a different topic and is not what was being talked about. You're sidestepping the actual discussion. There are/were good historical reasons to include one group but not the other, and they are the reasons that the situation is as it stands, but I'm sure you're aware of them.
"The UK appears to be unique (certainly within the EU) in allowing any non citizens to vote in national elections or constitutional referendums. The general case within the EU is that EU citizens may vote in local elections but only citizens of the state concerned can vote in national elections."
Also for EU elections according to my French voting card (& I did vote here in the last EU elections)
>... As Europeans living in Europe they had no reason to acquire British citizenship. Then a bunch of dicks decide they want to turn the clock back 40 years and people who have been living here for 20 years have no right to have their views represented on a decision that will change their whole life.
likewise for British citizens living elsewhere in the EU - I had no reason to apply for French nationality in the past but due to a vote in which I wasn't allowed to participate, my life is going to become a lot more complicated, at best.
> Yes but not unconditional. (serious criminal records for example)
Interesting point, do you kick the whole family out if the dad's a wrong 'un?
That is a reasonable point. How we deal with that I don't know but I have dealt with some seriously bad and violent people who currently get deported at the expiry of their sentence. Keeping them here seems bad for the country but may be a trade off we have to make.
> "The UK appears to be unique (certainly within the EU) in allowing any non citizens to vote in national elections or constitutional referendums. The general case within the EU is that EU citizens may vote in local elections but only citizens of the state concerned can vote in national elections."
> Also for EU elections according to my French voting card (& I did vote here in the last EU elections)
Same situation here regarding EU elections. If we followed the French example you would have had a vote in the Brexit referendum but not in a 'Frexit' one.
> A few million relatively young, relatively well educated, largely non-religious voters with experience of modern democratic systems would be a very useful influx of wisdom into the UK electorate.
This.
If we rely on our own population it'll take about twenty years.
Fortunately, I don't think those on the march are bothered by the scorn and abuse of little people such as yourself.
But where do you stop? There was a vote. A decision was made. Parliament elected to deliver that decision. A noisy minority don’t like the decision and demand a replay. That is what is undemocratic. It means there was no point in the first vote. I am less vexed by the idea of a referendum on accept or reject the deal. But not in undoing what was decided.
This is a fallacious argument. If anything the remainer lies now far outstrip the leaver lies.
Thankfully 17 million had the wisdom to disagree with you Roger.
Those dicks will be your fellow countrymen and women. So much personal self interest in the remains here. The somewheres not much loved by the anywhere’s.
> Thankfully 17 million had the wisdom to disagree with you Roger.
It remains to be seen if it was wisdom, but that's democracy for you. Such is life.
> But where do you stop? There was a vote. A decision was made. Parliament elected to deliver that decision.
... and now it is turning into a right mess, many things have changed, many things that were promised now don't appear to be true/accurate/possible.
It is such a weak argument - when do you stop. I agree that we shouldn't have referenda very often, in fact hardly ever since it misses the point of a parliamentary democracy, however in this case parliament is showing itself to be unable to produce a consensus decision after two years of debate. A second referendum is the only way the country is going to get a credible decision.
> A noisy minority don’t like the decision and demand a replay. That is what is undemocratic. It means there was no point in the first vote. I am less vexed by the idea of a referendum on accept or reject the deal. But not in undoing what was decided.
But it would only be undone if the majority voted remain on the second referendum. You (and Dixon) seem to always start from the assumption that 'leave' would lose a second referendum. Why is that?
Alan
> This is a fallacious argument. If anything the remainer lies now far outstrip the leaver lies.
What a load of rubbish. Tell me some of these remainer lies then.
Alan
I certainly do not.
Tusk’s extravagant claim that leave would signal the end of western civilisation.
https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/www.bbc.co.uk/news/amp/uk-politics-eu-refere...
PIn reply to Alan James - Rockfax:
Or Cameron’s speech that it could mean war in Europe.
https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/05/08/cameron-...
scaremongrring or what? Massive lies. The bus figure was actually much closer to the truth. We are massively net contributors to the EU budget. When you take the rebate off that Lady Thatcher fought so hard it reduces a little. But it is still a big sum. Many leave voters have the view that in a time of austerity that money should
> That there would be a recession if we voted Leave.
… we haven't left yet... once we do there may well be a recession. Knowing many folk who work in 'The City'... most of the big London companies have already opened offices in France, Belgium and Holland. They are simply waiting to see what happens when we do actually leave next year... all the indications are they'll be off like a shot if they're not happy with whatever the outcome is...
… Interestingly James Dyson, a very vocal leaver, who banged on endlessly about how the UK needs to be more bullish about its manufacturing capability and how we should stand on our own two feet, has decided to make his new electric cars in Singapore as Singapore has a good trade deal with the EU making it easy for him to sell them, with minimum tariffs, back into the European market... oh how ironic; you couldn't make it up...!!!
Well, it certainly appears to be the end of civilised western politics
former Tory mp and adviser to David Davies calls an 11 year old in hospital a ‘pathetic cretin’.
So that’s what it’s come to. Tweeting abuse at children. I hope it’s all worth it.
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/oct/23/former-tory-mp-stewart-jac...
Dyson went to Singapore not because of EU but to be close to China his core market and Singapore has trade deal with China. Your point about not left yet is really not worthy of comment. You guys blame any bad news on Brexit ‘even though we haven’t left yet.’ I can confirm there will be a recession. There always are. The failure to deal with debt — now bigger than pre crash — is the real worry. EU unelected leaders are fools. Not that May is any better.
The history of politics is littered with abusive language. Just read threads on here. Leave voters morons, cretins, stupid blah blah. Your comment had no relevance to Tusk comment. Project Fear fundamentally based on lies.
Still a load of rubbish? Recession, end of western civilisation, war, and millions unemployed. Remainer. Porky. Pies.
Just ban me Alan. Save us all the trouble!
I think you know full well that you're personally responsible for a good proportion of the abusive language recently, which is a shame because you used to be more reasoned and less abusive. Difficult to take your occasional valid points as seriously any more, when we have to filter them from so much misleading rhetorical guff.
Yes, of course political discourse has always had a cutting edge
but senior political figures posting abusive messages to sick 11 year olds?
You’re really not going to repudiate that?
Be careful not to fall off that high horse John.
I do. And I trust in good faith that you will repudiate the claim made on this site by a remoaner that 17 million people are ‘retards’ .... they are sensible people who made a political judgement that a slightly smaller number of people disagreed with. Period.
> Be careful not to fall off that high horse John.
It only looks high from your perspective in the gutter, John
That could be considered abuse. But it’s more of your pointless inanity so ride off into the sunset there’s a good chap (forgive the pun).
> Dyson went to Singapore not because of EU but to be close to China his core market and Singapore has trade deal with China.
Almost as if he thinks there's something in the much sneered at gravity model eh. Still, Australia, they'll take the sting out of f*cking up our valuable ties to Europe in a decade or so if we still make anything they want by then.
Jk
Of course.
Bit of a difference though don’t you think? Anonymous adults calling each other names is pretty unedifying stuff; but a senior politician calling a child in a hospital bed a retard- Brexit is debasing our political culture and behaviour that would have been career ending only a few years ago now appears to be shrugged off or minimised with whataboutery.
And if you can find anything similar from senior remain supporting figures, I’ll repudiate it without hesitation.
> In reply to no_more_scotch_eggs
> The history of politics is littered with abusive language. Just read threads on here. Leave voters morons, cretins, stupid blah blah.
I agree with all of that. Your contributions to these threads prove it.
A few of us Remainians can be a bit fruity with the old language, but to the best of my knowledge none of us have shot and stabbed a tiny woman and mother to death in the street while shouting the name of the political party that best represents our views just because we didn't like the cut of her political jib. Mind you I've been on holiday so am a bit behind with the news, so if Jayda Franzen has been attacked by some overeducated trilingual vegan shouting "Liberal Democrats!" then ignore my last comment, we're even.
> That could be considered abuse.
Only if you're a snowflake - which I rather doubt you are - intent on pretending you haven't had a recent history of posting unpleasantries.
I'll happily drop this whole Brexit obsession as soon as we've had a meaningful (and legal this time) People's Vote. Then we'll both know the 'will of the people'. Until then it would be stupid for anyone to just shut up about the abyss we're staring into (but which a select few influential individuals stand to gain a lot from) and watch idly while it drags us all down.
> A few of us Remainians can be a bit fruity with the old language, but to the best of my knowledge none of us have shot and stabbed a tiny woman and mother to death in the street while shouting the name of the political party that best represents our views just because we didn't like the cut of her political jib.
I voted Remain and will say you do yourself no credit with remarks like that.
It's an appropriate response to John considering his style. I do appreciate your point, but I can live with it.
He didn’t insult the child, as the guardian article says, he insulted the dad.
No vote on leave. Parliament vote on deal. The referendum was not illegal. You and your fellow remainer thugs will only shut up when you have got the decision you want.
No but he reveals just how ugly and poisonous this so called debate has become. He’s s thoroughly nasty piece of work in my view. Discredit to remain.
So that is a refusal to repudiate the remainer retard abuse on the leave voters. Shame on you.
Reasoned as ever.
You at least admit you are obsessed. That’s the first step on the road to treatment and cure.
The voice of scotch nationalism: harsh, intolerant, deeply partisan, would turn Jockland into a wasteland.
And no one has responded to the big three remainer lies quoted above. Interesting.
Another remainer lie exposed this week -- namely that the unelected commission has no power over domestic budgets...this must be a fabrication then - it is from the Guardian.
Italy was presented with a three-week deadline to provide a revised financial plan, and the commission’s vice-president, Valdis Dombrovskis...... threatened to begin a procedure that could lead to the EU imposing fines on Italy unless the new government reconsiders.
So, we help a fellow government out of debt by imposing punitive fines on them. Peace and stability. You'll be saying strong and stable next...And remind me who elected Vladis Dombrovkis....I don't remember his name being on the EU election ballot paper...
> Tusk’s extravagant claim that leave would signal the end of western civilisation.
> https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/www.bbc.co.uk/news/amp/uk-politics-eu-refere...
From the link "As a historian I fear Brexit could be the beginning of the destruction of not only the EU but also Western political civilisation in its entirety,"
A key word "edited" out by our spin doctor in chief. Remember kids, leave means lies.
> Dyson went to Singapore not because of EU but to be close to China his core market and Singapore has trade deal with China.
… of course he did... how silly of me - China may well be one of his core markets but it will also mean, if the UK crashes out of the EU and falls back on WTO rules and tariffs, he will be able to import his shiny new cars into the European mainland without the tariffs he would face if he manufactured in the UK... its so hypocritical...
…. I note also; that doyen of modern, forward looking Britain, Jacob Rees-Mogg (sic), another rabid Brexiteer, has moved many of the assets his investment firm owns to Dublin in recent months... no doubt there will be reasoned explanation for this that, of course, has nothing to do with the economic uncertainty caused by the EU referendum: a.k.a. lets save the Tory party...
I don't agree. What's that got to do with the referendum? If anything it strengthens my case. It seems that you are so obsessed that you are failing to read what others write.
He does read what others write, but rewrites it to suit his own agenda then responds with a few added and invented accusations of abuse while throwing in a few well placed if transparent provocations. (I think I might be the only person on any of these trolling threads who is guilty of responding to him using abusive language). Anyway it’s an old tactic, if you don’t have the ammunition to win an argument, attack your opponent’s integrity.
It’s been a very good introduction to a poisonous kind of journalistm and how to create a totally false narrative, but has imho devalued the forums massively. There are leavers/agnostics such as Summo and BnB to name two who add much value to debates but for now the forum is being drowned out by tho noise which comes straight from the UKIP playbook.
> And no one has responded to the big three remainer lies quoted above. Interesting.
The recession: My personal take and I can only speak for myself was that a short and shallow recession related to the shock of a leave vote was a distinct possibility, not a certainty. We saw reduced growth, we saw growth relative to our peers collapse, we saw some job losses (my sister in law lost hers as a direct result of lost confidence causing a scaling back of the company she worked for) but we also saw stronger than expected global growth (not brexit related), we saw a big increase in QE keeping credit more available than might have been prudent in the long run and the slump in the value of the pound stimulated export sales which is fine for high value-added products and services or those sold from stock but it is a transient effect and it's impact on workers largely offset by inflation of imported goods and commodities.
This is all unrelated to the effect new tariff and non-tariff barriers, loss of direct investment, loss or regional development funding, loss of science funding and a decline in the attractiveness of British institutions and researchers will have on our economy upon leaving. All versions of brexit look set to cause nett harm in these areas, whether that will too be offset by the transient effects we benefited from before and those we have no control over (dumb luck)... we'll see but I'm not an optimist and I see no reason to take the risk.
War: Brexit is heightening tensions in Northern Ireland already, it looks set to reinvigorate the movement for reunification which is unlikely to be bloodless. As for war in Europe, I can only speak for myself so here's my take. Does brexit cause it? Directly and promptly, no. Does it make it more likely? Depends how we handle it and what the unforeseen consequences are. It certainly doesn't make it less likely and if it results in the disintegration of the EU as many brexiters believe they want then yes, the likely outcome in the short to medium term is small scale conflict between nations of the EU and on the edges as border, ethnic and economic tensions resulting from the collapse stoke the growth of nationalist movements. Resulting refugee flows would further heighten tensions in neighbouring regions risking contagion. Splitting Germany, France and Italy apart economically inevitably leaves Gremany justifiably feeling vulnerable on two geographically undefendable flanks squeezed between France and ultimately Russia to the east, forced to militarise. With an aggressive and unpredictable Russia in the mix we have a volatile mess of fear, militarisation and economic turmoil. In the past this has frequently resulted in war in Europe. The future isn't the past but this situation is while the EU holds together unthinkable.
Unemployment: Will rise if our economy contracts, this may be partially offset by the loss of workers who have retained their EU freedoms but that too will result in transient skills shortages (eg NHS) which will likely be plugged with incentivised immigration due to the lag between funding training and skilled staff numbers increasing being unacceptable. How much the economy weakens depends what deal May negotiates over the coming years but all credible forecasts for all available versions of brexit are for reduced growth or negative growth. These contractions are forecast to hit the most deprived regions hardest. Loss of revenue will trigger a deepening of austerity felt most acutely in those deprived regions where the safety net once provided by the state is most needed. By all means make a scholarly evidenced argument for those forecasts being wrong but I'm afraid I'll treat positive feelings and hope with the same regard I would a tea leaf reading.
Is that the three, I get confused?
You dress these up as if they are core tenets of the remain argument understood and presented by all remainers in exactly the same way but the fact is most remainers just see brexit reducing their rights and weakening their country in exchange for nothing of value comparable to that which we give up.
Edit: I've answered your question, now your turn John. How does brexit make my life better?
jk
> Anyway it’s an old tactic, if you don’t have the ammunition to win an argument, attack your opponent’s integrity.
Or just randomly attack anyone. Let's face it, the substance of the OP that started this is a claim that the march didn't contain any significant leave voices (how can he know?) and two irrelevant paragraphs attacking Gary Lineker, amongst others.
Alan
> This is a fallacious argument. If anything the remainer lies now far outstrip the leaver lies.
But you have been doing such sterling work for leave in this regard, with this being another whopper to add to the mountain.
god I sent you the bloody link... it is still a wild and unsubstantiated claim......end of western political civilisation then ...was he right, is he right or is he just shroud waving.
It is not worth the bother with you guys...
Yeah, silence the man. He is a cretin, moron and retard...
But let's see a bus emblazoned
End of western political civilisation
Recession imminent
A world at war
All three big whopping lies. I appreciate JK taking time to deal with them in turn but it only proves they are unsubstantiated foresasts design to frighten the voters...and those you cant frighten you bully
So just how many leave voters were there. Look at the banners, the names of the supporting groups, the political leaders..of there were leave converters the Remain gang did a good job at hiding them.. if the random attacks offend either ban me, or tell the remainer crowd to stop using the same tactics against those they clearly hate..so the sarcasm wasn’t random but deliberate to show the remainers have rich and powerful backers, celebrity influencers, and unelected figures elevated by patronage. The language I’m using is to mirror the tone of the debate if that is what it is..on this site. If you don’t like what you see in the mirror, that’s not my fault. Your response, in the plural, is to smash the mirror. You lost the vote. The people decided. 700k rent a mob on the streets is not democracy and has no political legitimacy. Maybe Tusk was on to something. The Remain side lie day in day out. But they can’t and won’t admit it.
If you can't spot the difference between the end of civilisation and the end of political civilisation then maybe don't bother posting.
> You've only confirmed that all three claims are untrue --
I've demonstrated that the most simplistic presentation of those claims can be presented as such if the context in which they are considered is unreasonably restricted. Which isn't the same thing.
Predictably you've declined to address my question and reverted to accusing me of bullying. If you feel I'm bullying you I would strongly encourage you to 'report abuse' with the button at the bottom of the thread.
jk
“700k rent a mob on the street is not democracy and has no political legitimacy”
This is the sort of disgusting language I would expect from the very worst of the tabloids, but more importantly if shows your complete lack of understanding of modern democracy.
In your head it seems, we haven’t moved on from Peterloo.
> You at least admit you are obsessed. That’s the first step on the road to treatment and cure.
Carlsberg don't do irony, but if they did...
> 700k rent a mob on the streets
Wow! That must be the biggest riot in UK history! I'm guessing they left a trail of destruction or London was a sea of flames. Let's check what the Met Police said.
"No significant arrests"
https://www.standard.co.uk/news/london/no-significant-arrests-made-after-th...
Do you believe in a "democracy" without the right to peacefully disagree?
> (I think I might be the only person on any of these trolling threads who is guilty of responding to him using abusive language).
No, me too.
I didn't start taking the piss until he made a series of spectactularly ignorant and grossly offensive remarks about Scotland. They really only illustrated once again that UKIP is misnamed in that their only allegiance is to themselves and they don't actually give a phuq about the UK or anyone else for that matter. I don't regard him ss typical, just part of the lunatic fringe.
I only respond because I feel it's better that he waste his time on this forum where he is doing a sterling job in hardening opinion against Brexit than give him the time to spread his poisonous and ignorant views elsewhere.
> “700k rent a mob on the street is not democracy and has no political legitimacy”
> This is the sort of disgusting language
That is not disgusting language.
IMaybe he holds these views, maybe not, I have my doubts. I think he is trying to provoke me, or any other offended ‘Jock’ into an angry response, preferably using a similarly bigoted anti-English slur to bolster his argument that remainians and pro-Indy ‘scotch’ are a bad lot, not for the benefit of ukc spats but for dissemination through his professional media voice.
That doesn’t mean he isn’t a massive arsehole as well though.
> So just how many leave voters were there.
er, none, that was the point wasn't it? I wouldn't expect someone who had voted leave and changed their mind to be carrying a banner supporting leave, however I bet there were some there.
> if the random attacks offend either ban me, or tell the remainer crowd to stop using the same tactics against those they clearly hate
Do you really think that remainers are motivated by hate? I think most are actually motivated by love of their country, and openness to other cultures and nationalities. What we fear is the restrictive mentality and closed reactionary assumptions that is at the heart of much of the leave campaign's rhetoric.
> ..so the sarcasm wasn’t random but deliberate to show the remainers have rich and powerful backers, celebrity influencers, and unelected figures elevated by patronage.
Which the leave campaign have as well, only on this thread the only ones who get criticised are the likes of Dyson and Rees-Mogg for their hypocritical behaviour, not just for being rich, which is what your complaint against Gary Lineker appears to be.
> The language I’m using is to mirror the tone of the debate if that is what it is..on this site. If you don’t like what you see in the mirror, that’s not my fault. Your response, in the plural, is to smash the mirror.
Not really. The response is pretty consistently to counter your arguments with substantive arguments of our own. I don't see any mirror smashing going on here. I admit that the odds are stacked against you since yours is one of only two voices, and I admire that, but you would do better to tackle the issues with substantive statements rather than sweeping generalisations and characterisations.
> You lost the vote. The people decided. 700k rent a mob on the streets is not democracy and has no political legitimacy.
Again your point is undermined by using the language 'rent a mob' when it quite obviously wasn't a 'mob' and no-one was being 'rented' to be there.
You still haven't answered my question about why you assume that a second referendum would be lost by the leave campaign.
Alan
The framing of peaceful political protest as illegitimate is both wrong and deeply chilling.
The characterisation of 700k anti-brexit protesters as rented, paid or paid for actors is both utterly ridiculous and reminiscent of surprisingly effective US alt-right efforts to undermine legitimate protest, for example see the Sandy Hook conspiracies.
The characterisation of peaceful protesters as a mob with connotations of violent disorder is dishonest.
John picks his words carefully, this is his job. If his language isn't setting alarm bells ringing about the journey you and your fellow travellers are on with brexit then you're sleepwalking.
jk
"Another remainer lie exposed this week -- namely that the unelected commission has no power over domestic budgets...this must be a fabrication then - it is from the Guardian.
Italy was presented with a three-week deadline to provide a revised financial plan, and the commission’s vice-president, Valdis Dombrovskis...... threatened to begin a procedure that could lead to the EU imposing fines on Italy unless the new government reconsiders. "
Besides the assertion of that "lie" being a classic Brexit strawman (the Commission can work on a mandate from it's member states and from Parliament). In this particular 'interference' Italy signed up to the rules of the Euro zone, whereas the UK did not.
I'm no fan of EU democracy but there are middle postions eg.
https://fullfact.org/europe/eu-facts-behind-claims-democracy/?gclid=Cj0KCQj...
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Democratic_deficit_in_the_European_Union
Even in the Guardian... (at the bottom of this article after they explain the democratic mandate of the Commission):
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/jun/13/is-the-eu-undemocratic-refere...
> 700k rent a mob on the streets is not democracy and has no political legitimacy.
Democracy means nothing if the right to protest and dissent is not allowed. It is only oppressive regimes, scared of freedom of expression, which prevent peaceful protests. Whether you agree with the aims of the protesters, you should, if you have any respect for democracy, allow their right to present their case.
> That is not disgusting language.
It actually is. Calling 700k peaceful, friendly marchers a "rent-a-mob" and claiming they are undemocratic and have "no political legitimacy" may not have the crude "vulgarity" of swear words, but it is in fact much more vulgar in its dismissal of the legitimate concerns and laudable conduct of a huge number of people.
Of course it's not really john's fault, he just chooses not to think for himself. But we hear this sort of language all the time from our elected officials now, and it is deeply degrading for our democracy.
https://twitter.com/Jacob_Rees_Mogg/status/1053665653280911360
I don't think anyone has said that they should be allowed to do as they wish. Just like the people who were protesting the result in Bristol, or outside Parliament, days after should be allowed to do as they wish. They should expect to be ignored though, and they should expect to be called names.
Amazing that given the apparent strength of feeling, and the 16million odd remain voters, that they didn't field anything close to that number. It's almost as if a small minority are still obsessed and will do anything to change the result while the majority have moved on.
> I wonder what a Leave march would look like?
> Angrier and more beige?
Common misportrayal, I think the greatest volume, and most strident anger is generally displayed by the remain side. This chap elucidates the "hate" directed at, not by, the leavers:
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=R9T4dGAxtO0&t=145s
> The framing of peaceful political protest as illegitimate is both wrong and deeply chilling.
“700k rent a mob on the street is not democracy and has no political legitimacy” Does not do that.
> The characterisation of 700k anti-brexit protesters as rented, paid or paid for actors is both utterly ridiculous and reminiscent of surprisingly effective US alt-right efforts to undermine legitimate protest, for example see the Sandy Hook conspiracies.
"rent a mob" is a commonly used phrase. It does not necessarily mean they were paid. Obviously John does not think they were. So why not deal with the points he is making, rather than deliberately misinterpret ?
> The characterisation of peaceful protesters as a mob with connotations of violent disorder is dishonest.
You are being dishonest. There was no intended suggestion of violent disorder.
In fact, are you Pat Condell?:-
youtube.com/watch?v=Nh11RYjheUY&
Not an insult, I'm a genuine admirer.
In reply to Alan James - UKC and UKH:
700000/16000000 = >20%? Think you might want to check your maths.
> I don't think anyone has said that they should be allowed to do as they wish... They should expect to be ignored though, and they should expect to be called names.
I'd like you to expand on that and try to justify those assertions please Thomas. They don't fit with my understanding of British values but perhaps as an outsider I'm missing something.
> Amazing that given the apparent strength of feeling, and the 16million odd remain voters, that they didn't field anything close to that number. It's almost as if a small minority are still obsessed and will do anything to change the result while the majority have moved on.
It was the second biggest protest march in British history. If you're clinging to the fact there weren't 16M+ there to kid yourself opposition to brexit is not strong and widespread then you've a shock coming. You're not daft, I don't believe you actually believe that.
jk
> Amazing that given the apparent strength of feeling, and the 16million odd remain voters, that they didn't field anything close to that number. It's almost as if a small minority are still obsessed and will do anything to change the result while the majority have moved on.
You must therefore believe that less than a million people in the UK were opposed to the Iraq war in 2003, so Blair's decision to go ahead will, in your eyes, have had overwhelming public support?
> You are being dishonest. There was no intended suggestion of violent disorder.
The word “mob” implies violent disorder, though I suspect you know this.
> I'd like you to expand on that and try to justify those assertions please Thomas. They don't fit with my understanding of British values but perhaps as an outsider I'm missing something.
What are you looking for? Do you think that protests against results straight after they've come in should be listened to, as opposed to the actual result? There will always be people strongly unhappy with any result, they should always be ignored as outliers.
> It was the second biggest protest march in British history. If you're clinging to the fact there weren't 16M+ there to kid yourself opposition to brexit is not strong and widespread then you've a shock coming. You're not daft, I don't believe you actually believe that.
The opposition from certain people, such as yourself, is fervent and strong, the result of the referendum didn't change or affect your views on what ought to happen. There are many many people who agree with you. They aren't a majority. The majority accept the result as a democratic decision.
That doesn't follow at all. A majority were probably uncertain. As I recall at the time polls showed support for the war overall.
https://yougov.co.uk/news/2015/06/03/remembering-iraq/
Seems I recall correctly.
> "rent a mob" is a commonly used phrase. It does not necessarily mean they were paid. Obviously John does not think they were. So why not deal with the points he is making, rather than deliberately misinterpret ? You are being dishonest. There was no intended suggestion of violent disorder.
As I said, for all his ranting John chooses his words carefully:
https://www.collinsdictionary.com/dictionary/english/mob : A mob is a large, disorganized, and often violent crowd of people.
https://www.collinsdictionary.com/dictionary/english/illegitimate : Illegitimate is used to describe activities and institutions that are not in accordance with the law or with accepted standards of what is right.
I trust we both understand the definition of rent.
Whether or not John actually believes this these are the corrosive rhetorical tools he has chosen to undermine this protest. You're willing to look away from that, to overlook the danger inherent in this becoming an acceptable way of describing then through acceptance of that, considering, legitimate political protest. I'm not.
jk
> I don't think anyone has said that they should be allowed to do as they wish. Just like the people who were protesting the result in Bristol, or outside Parliament, days after should be allowed to do as they wish. They should expect to be ignored though, and they should expect to be called names.
Why on earth should they be expected to be called names? Is that how low we have fallen, that disagreements can only be addressed with insults? Is that really what we have to look forward to? Healthy democracies thrive on dissent and disagreement.
> In reply to Removed UserDavid Riley
> You are being dishonest. There was no intended suggestion of violent disorder.
> The word “mob” implies violent disorder, though I suspect you know this.
https://www.collinsdictionary.com/dictionary/english/mob : A mob is a large, disorganized, and often violent crowd of people.
> That doesn't follow at all. A majority were probably uncertain. As I recall at the time polls showed support for the war overall.
> https://yougov.co.uk/news/2015/06/03/remembering-iraq/
> Seems I recall correctly.
Well if you're now using polls as justification, perhaps you'd like to review the overwhelming poll evidence for majority Remain support right now.
Can't have it both ways.
The day after a vote we've already had all the argument, everyone has had their chance to have their say and then we have the result. You lose, you accept it and come back next time. If you want to be a sore loser then fine, go ahead, but you are just a sore loser, you're not some moral campaigner whose argument needs to be heard.
I note you fail to answer my question. Please try again. Why should dissenters expect to be called names?
"the danger inherent in this becoming an acceptable way of describing" What nonsense.
> I trust we both understand the definition of rent.
> Whether or not this is what John actually believes ...
So you are going to attack the words rather than the meaning.
> What are you looking for? Do you think that protests against results straight after they've come in should be listened to, as opposed to the actual result?
As opposed to? No. In conjunction with a very close advisory referendum being used to railroad massive and harmful constitutional change through parliament? Yes.
As I said, I'd like you to expand on and justify your assertions, help me understand your reasoning so I'm not just left thinking you're wrong. I might be left understanding why I think you're wrong, you might convince me you're right, depends on the quality of your argument.
> There will always be people strongly unhappy with any result, they should always be ignored as outliers.
Half the electorate described as outliers... this is how disaster happens.
> The opposition from certain people, such as yourself, is fervent and strong, the result of the referendum didn't change or affect your views on what ought to happen.
No, my views from the outset were that in the event of a Leave vote we should plan then negotiate our departure then vote for a defined and deliverable future outside the EU if that reality is what we choose.
> There are many many people who agree with you. They aren't a majority. The majority accept the result as a democratic decision.
Which begs the question why are you so damned desperate not to actually ask them what they want? I actually agree with your statement (I hesitate to say 'you' since you give every impression of believing we would actually now vote to remain), I think Leave can win but only by getting their heads out of their asses and delivering a minimum harm settlement for the electorate, not little England for a handful of wreckers and nationalists on the fringes of the Conservative party. Holding your government to account is very much in your interest, at the moment we are both being sold down the river.
jk
https://yougov.co.uk/news/2018/09/12/how-public-feel-about-brexit-options/
Yougov says 3% in favour of remain - not that the result should be overturned, but that if the vote were held today 3% in favour of remain.
https://yougov.co.uk/news/2016/06/23/yougov-day-poll/
Yougov on the day poll in 2016 shows 4% in favour of remain.
What a stonking majority for remain that is, what an utterly clear demonstration of a move in your favour...whoops no that's a 1% shift away from remain.
The poll for the Iraq war showed a huge majority in favour of it. Not that I was, but that's what the polls showed at the time.
Because they're being sore losers.
> "the danger inherent in this becoming an acceptable way of describing" What nonsense.
https://www.marketing-partners.com/conversations2/changing-minds-frames-mat...
How we talk about things changes how we think about them. John's choice of language and your uncritical acceptance of it has consequences.
> So you are going to attack the words rather than the meaning.
I can only know what he says so I'll stick to addressing that.
jk
> Because they're being sore losers.
Why are you so scared of another vote? Surly if it's so great, it'll fly through, now everyone knows what the benefits are for all of us.
> As opposed to? No. In conjunction with a very close advisory referendum being used to railroad massive and harmful constitutional change through parliament? Yes.
Standard loaded questions from you.
> As I said, I'd like you to expand on and justify your assertions, help me understand your reasoning so I'm not just left thinking you're wrong. I might be left understanding why I think you're wrong, you might convince me you're right, depends on the quality of your argument.
See reply above.
> Half the electorate described as outliers... this is how disaster happens.
Half the electorate is your imagination, half the electorate did not vote remain, half the electorate do not think like you.
> Which begs the question why are you so damned desperate not to actually ask them what they want?
As per usual, you're not responding to what I say you're responding to a straw man.
Scroll up for the answer.
> Standard loaded questions from you.
Loaded? I politely asked you to expand on an opinion you offered FFS.
> Half the electorate is your imagination, half the electorate did not vote remain, half the electorate do not think like you.
They near as damnit did. No, of course they don't all think alike, just as leave voters don't. If they did you wouldn't be desperately scrabbling to delegitimise the campaign for a ratification referendum.
> As per usual, you're not responding to what I say you're responding to a straw man.
Erm. I'm responding to your assertion that 'People's Vote' campaigners should be insulted and ignored which I don't think is much of a straw man given at 12:30 you wrote:
> They should expect to be ignored though, and they should expect to be called names.
If you do not actually believe this, if it was a hot-headed outburst you're not actually willing to defend then fair enough.
jk
> Loaded? I politely asked you to expand on an opinion you offered FFS.
"being used to railroad massive and harmful constitutional change through parliament?" Massive and harmful are *not* loaded terms? You're kidding right? I'd call it a beneficial and necessary constitutional change, personally.
> They near as damnit did. No, of course they don't all think alike, just as leave voters don't. If they did you wouldn't be desperately scrabbling to delegitimise the campaign for a ratification referendum.
I've given above reasons why I don't think there should be a new referendum. Your emotional and loaded responses really aren't worth replying to.
> Erm. I'm responding to your assertion that 'People's Vote' campaigners should be insulted and ignored which I don't think is much of a straw man given at 12:30 you wrote:
I said that they should be ignored, and that they should *expect* to be called names.
I'll leave it there.
> "being used to railroad massive and harmful constitutional change through parliament?" Massive and harmful are *not* loaded terms? You're kidding right? I'd call it a beneficial and necessary constitutional change, personally.
Massive is an understatement. Harmful is from the government's own impact assessments.
Loaded or not that statement wasn't part of the question I asked, I asked you to expand on why you feel political protesters should be ignored and insulted.
> I've given above reasons why I don't think there should be a new referendum. Your emotional and loaded responses really aren't worth replying to.
I can assure you I'm quite calm. I don't recall seeing your answer, perhaps please once more for me?
> I said that they should be ignored, and that they should *expect* to be called names.
You'll have to forgive me for not being able to get a fag paper between what you said and what appears to be your defence of it.
jk
> Because they're being sore losers.
With all due respect, over the last two and a half years the assembled forces of Brexit (especially but not limited to politicians) have squandered any goodwill, any desire for me to listen to their arguments or see their point of view. They've not once attempted to extend an olive leaf to us. They've sneered, gloated and completely dismissed my legitimate concerns about everything I stand to lose. They've alternately called me a loser, a remoaner, an anti-democratic, a traitor, an enemy of the people, an elitist, a snowflake, a citizen of nowhere. They've blamed me for the government's mess, told me I ought to be exiled, or just pretended I and 16.1 million others don't exist.
They've been the sorest bunch of winners imaginable.
> They've been the sorest bunch of winners imaginable.
Mainly because they have no idea what they've won - dogs chasing cars.
> Because they're being sore losers
Is that really the best you can offer? I despair.
Well articulated, thanks!
> https://yougov.co.uk/news/2018/09/12/how-public-feel-about-brexit-options/
> Yougov says 3% in favour of remain - not that the result should be overturned, but that if the vote were held today 3% in favour of remain.
I don't see anywhere in that document where it says 3% are in favour of remain.
The most interesting thing in the report is the slope of the graph measuring how many people think Brexit was a mistake and how it has changed with time and specifically how fast it has been going up in the last couple of months. The nearer we get to Brexit the more things that have just been plans and contingencies will start becoming realities, the scarier it is going to get and the faster that line will move.
Your quite slanderous aunt you? Rent a mob? God I've been receiving extremely polite and cordial emails for months about action on the streets by this lot - If asking people to add their view to a "Brexitometer" or sampling people's thoughts on the streets of Cumbria is rentamob what does that make you ?- a delinquent rapist (just to pull a non sequitur out of the air as you)
what is a sore loser - someone in a team sport? I suppose that defines all Leavers as sore losers from the 1960s onwards up till 2016?????
> https://yougov.co.uk/news/2018/09/12/how-public-feel-about-brexit-options/
> Yougov says 3% in favour of remain - not that the result should be overturned, but that if the vote were held today 3% in favour of remain.
Your comprehension skills seem to be in need of some work. Try reading the report you link to and see if you can spot your mistake.
With all due respect in return for over a decade those who wanted to leave were smeared and attacked (with no complaints from the other side) and nothing changed following the referendum. Remainers simply carried on, the views of the voters didn't change their opinions a jot. No, most strong leavers haven't tried to generate goodwill, but neither have the other side. It's highly hypocritical to complain about the other side when you are no better. Teresa May has tried.
Personally, I'll keep trying to be polite, but I'm not going to complain about people being rude to those who are endlessly rude to them, and I'm not going to apologise for the actions of others.
- Harry Jarvis - Apologies, you're right it's 3% think we shouldn't leave. John Arran claimed that the polls showed overwhelming support for remain, they don't, they basically match the polls from the time of the referendum. Note that remainer politeness there, really trying hard to win hearts and minds aren't you.
> - Harry Jarvis - Apologies, you're right it's 3% think we shouldn't leave.
No, it's not even that. The question whether we should leave or stay wasn't even asked. Do try again.
> John Arran claimed that the polls showed overwhelming support for remain, they don't, they basically match the polls from the time of the referendum.
John Arran claimed nothing of the sort. He noted there is "overwhelming poll evidence for majority Remain support", which is entirely true and utterly different from your twisted reinterpretation.
But feel free to continue misrepresenting. It adds so much credibility to your posts.
Can you point to that support then? The yougov link was the first thing on google, and (yes, Harry Jarvis it's not exactly the same question - notable politeness from you again, following your whinging about the other side's rudeness) it doesn't show overwhelming evidence of support for remain. It shows margin of error in favour of remain, less of a margin than there was on the day we voted to leave.
> ...it's 3% think we shouldn't leave. John Arran claimed that the polls showed overwhelming support for remain, they don't, they basically match the polls from the time of the referendum.
The page you linked shows broadly a 3 percentage point difference between those who think we were right and those who think we were wrong to vote to leave as of 2018. What is arguably more important than the small difference is the divergent trend.
John's statement about overwhelming polling could be read two ways but the way which makes sense to anyone familiar with the poll results is that the overwhelming majority of polls now show a small surplus of support for remain. Again, the differences are small but the trend is clear.
I'd still appreciate you explaining why you're afraid to trust the electorate to decide their future once it is better defined? If brexit is good for us as we were told surely we will vote for it, if it isn't then brexit hasn't been taken away from the people, it has been rejected by them in the cold light of day. I'd be resigned to either outcome, as someone with qualifications and shallow roots brexit does me less harm that some.
jk
Maybe you need to read my last post again, since your link, by your own admission, is itself an example of majority Remain support. An overwhelming proportion of such polls paint a similar picture.
Edit: Just to make it even clearer if for some reason you're still struggling, the adjective 'overwhelming' very clearly applied to the poll evidence and not to the Remain support. That's just simple grammar.
> Can you point to that support then? The yougov link was the first thing on google, and (yes, Harry Jarvis it's not exactly the same question - notable politeness from you again, following your whinging about the other side's rudeness)
Yet more misrepresentation. Or given the repeated evidence, poor comprehension skills. What I was complaining about previously was the assertion that those protesting against Brexit should expect to be called names. I have no difficulty with robust language in the correct place, but we are in a sorry state where insults are to be expected simply for expressing a fairly mainstream opinion.
> With all due respect in return for over a decade those who wanted to leave were smeared and attacked (with no complaints from the other side) and nothing changed following the referendum.
Really? Where? I'm not aware of this, possibly because the issue of EU membership never figured highly on my political radar before 2015, and I would never have thought to insult people with Eurosceptic opinions. Can you expand on what you mean?
> Remainers simply carried on, the views of the voters didn't change their opinions a jot.
For starters, why should the result of the referendum change my opinion? There's no duty to follow the viewpoint of the majority.
It's also a bit of a generalisation. You can't possibly know how the opinions of remainers have changed. Actually, my views on democracy and it's interpretation in this country, and my views of the EU, have evolved since the referendum. Nothing has changed my view that Brexit will be bad for this country, because nobody has made a single coherent argument to explain otherwise. In fact, my view against Brexit has hardened, having witnessed the way in which Brexit has been pursued and the rhetoric of those driving it.
> No, most strong leavers haven't tried to generate goodwill, but neither have the other side. It's highly hypocritical to complain about the other side when you are no better. Teresa May has tried.
With the caveat that there is far too much nastiness being thrown around by all sides on social media, which poisons discourse and divides societies, and which isn't just a symptom of Brexit...
1) First up, do you not think that it is incumbent for the winning side to be gracious and extend the hand of friendship and attempt to generate goodwill? That's not justifying any insults from my side, but...
2) Being honest, has there really been the same outpouring of vitriol from the remain side directed at ordinary leave voters? When I say I've been called a traitor, an elitist, a loser, an anti-democrat, as bad as jihadists, this has been by influential politicians with a far-reaching platform. Can you show me examples of influential remain-supporting politicians pouring the same vitriol at ordinary leave voters?
> Personally, I'll keep trying to be polite, but I'm not going to complain about people being rude to those who are endlessly rude to them, and I'm not going to apologise for the actions of others.
You called us sore losers. I wouldn't ask you to apologise for other people's words or actions, but I would appreciate if you stopped short of justifying it, as you have in this thread.
You aren't my enemy. By and large, we probably want the same things for our country, but we have a difference of opinion as to how to achieve that. But we win or lose together. If Brexit is a great success, it'll benefit us both. If, as I believe likely, it's an utter disaster that f*cks things up for me, you won't be exempt from its ravages purely because you "won".
So please, support my democratic right to peacefully protest for the second referendum required to either give Brexit democratic legitimacy or reject it, even if you don't entirely agree with me.
People do support your democratic right to peacefully protest for a second referendum. But reject your demands. The same as you would if the first result had been remain.
> People do support your democratic right to peacefully protest for a second referendum. But reject your demands. The same as you would if the first result had been remain.
People who support those rights tend not to deliberately misrepresent those people as “rentamob” or state that they are “illegitimate”. Same applies to people who defend people who express those views.
> People do support your democratic right to peacefully protest for a second referendum. But reject your demands. The same as you would if the first result had been remain.
May I ask why you don't support a second referendum? What is the democratic argument against it?
> People who support those rights tend not to deliberately misrepresent those people as “rentamob” or state that they are “illegitimate”. Same applies to people who defend people who express those views.
Again you refer to : “700k rent a mob on the street is not democracy and has no political legitimacy” Which means that it does, and should, not in any way change the political process, only attempt to change public opinion. Perhaps you misunderstood ?
Perhaps you are choosing not to understand
Understand what ?
> Again you refer to : “700k rent a mob on the street is not democracy and has no political legitimacy” Which means that it does, and should, not in any way change the political process, only attempt to change public opinion. Perhaps you misunderstood ?
Does not is debatable where by debatable what I mean is nonsense.
I'm more interested in why you think protest *should* not influence politics. Do you think we would yet have universal suffrage if that were the case?
jk
> Does not is debatable where by debatable what I mean is nonsense.
Whatever you intended that to mean, "what I mean is nonsense." is correct.
> I'm more interested in why you think protest *should* not influence politics. Do you think we would yet have universal suffrage if that were the case?
As always, you claim I said something I didn't. I commented on "is not democracy and has no political legitimacy” Our political system has nothing written into law for it to be changed by people going on a march. It has no political legitimacy, nor would it be democratic. It can only change public opinion. Any subsequent changes are down to the normal democratic process.
A single word does not make a point. So if you have a point make it. I cannot guess your thoughts.
> Democracy
?
> As always, you claim I said something I didn't. I commented on "is not democracy and has no political legitimacy” Our political system has nothing written into law for it to be changed by people going on a march. It has no political legitimacy, nor would it be democratic. It can only change public opinion. Any subsequent changes are down to the normal democratic process.
But affecting public opinion or the perception of opinion is precisely why we march, because that feeds back into policy. I don't think anyone was suggesting that marches should automatically change policy or write legislation.
Of course I don't think that's what john meant at all when he said that the march has no political legitimacy. He was, of course, entirely wrong.
> A single word does not make a point. So if you have a point make it. I cannot guess your thoughts.
> ?
Anyone who backs the view that peaceful process isn’t part of legitimate democratic discourse either doesn’t understand modern constitutional democracy or chooses not to understand it for other reasons. Choosing to misrepresent it a an attempt at mob rule or stating that it is not legitimate is doing exactly that.
Remember I have only disagreed with your interpretation of the phrase “700k rent a mob on the street is not democracy and has no political legitimacy”. I have actually claimed it does not mean marches are illegitimate or an attempt at mob rule as you seem to think it does. But no. Not only are you insistent that this is what it means. But you claim that I think that too. Marches are a legitimate way to influence public opinion.
I’m glad that you support peaceful demonstration as part of healthy democracy. However, your interpretation of the statement that you defended being consistent with that is ludicrous.
> I’m glad that you support peaceful demonstration as part of healthy democracy. However, your interpretation of the statement that you defended being consistent with that is ludicrous.
I don't think so. Perhaps John Yates would care to tell us his intention.
John answering a direct question would be a first.
That’s odd. I’m sure I have you directions to Orgreave when you were lost. I’ll attempt a direct answer. Peaceful protest and the right of lawful assembly are an emerging integral aspect of a liberal democracy. It is not, however, a substitute for it. My view on the People’s March is that it was entirely unpersuasive of the need for a second referendum; particularly one on the in or out question. It would have been a much more powerful event had it been 700k former leave voters who, to follow the Remain argument, had seen they had been misled. This was clearly not the case. What we had was a group of passionate Remain campaign ers who want to overturn the decision made by a majority of their fellow citizens two years earlier. That to me is what is undemocratic. The objective now should be to put into effect that decision as the two major parties fought the last election on. My rent a mob comment was a pejorative; in keeping with the invective used on this site. However, it would be accurate to say that decision making based on numbers who take to the streets would be close to mob rule, and a great distance from liberal democracy. I doubt this is sufficient an answer to satisfy Graeme.
You are a fool. I used a shorthand. But gave the link to the article. So clearly no intention to deceive. Had I missed out key words such as ‘does not mean the end’ then you would have point. But the reality is that Tusk a prominent commission official, a remainer, is claiming Brexit could mean the end of Western European political civilisation. That is an extraordinary claim and one without foundation. In short, a lie. As are the claims by the then Prime Minister, and more latterly Baron Adonis, that Brexit could mean war ( I abbreviate but that is their messsge). I also think that the recession and job losses scare was also either misleading or more deliberately calculated to deceive. My point is that leave have no monopoly on the manipulation of information to suit their ends. You just lack the integrity to admit it.
Well you thought wrong. I pretty much agree with all of your second paragraph. Your claim to clairvoyance in the last par I would however challenge. But you knew that didn’t you? ????
I don’t need a button to handle a bulky. But thanks for the strong advice.
Thank you John. By your definition of where the AMRC and Orgreave are relative to each other then I live in the Gleadless Valley, which I am certain I do not as my street borders Meersbrook Park. I doubt that this is a sufficient answer to satisfy John but it is a factual answer.
Your comments about mob rule and democracy are in line with your normal BS so don't need an answer.
Thank you for your spiteful comments about my business and the Depot. Once again I am thankful that my knowledge of Sheffield geography is greater than yours so I will sleep easy once they open.
I did hear something about that March.
A relatively few folk from London of a a huge population that are against Brexit, marched, not really a news story .
Now if a previously Leave part of the country had marched to remain - that would be news.
I’ve said several times I support the right to protest. I don’t really see any point trying to argue about who’s worse or when it started (off hand fruitcakes and looneys was 2008 I think, Cameron?). I do think it’s your side by far, but it’s subjective of course.
And that’s the problem. We voted to leave but the division has remained between leave/remain. Your side is still your side. You’re not trying to change the detail of the deal you’re trying to stop us leaving. A demand for a referendum before we agree to a big deal, fine, although I don’t support that. Arguments about the detail of a new deal, same. A demand to reroll - which is not new, is not prompted by events since the vote, but is just a lack of acceptance of that vote - is not. We are in this together, and remainers aren’t contributing.
I don’t, of course know your mind. As said though, people who marched the day after and have been resolute ever since are sore losers. As to whether you offer the hand of friendship, depends whether the other guy has slapped it down and is calling foul and asking for a rematch - and is still doing that two years later.
> And that’s the problem. We voted to leave but the division has remained between leave/remain. Your side is still your side. You’re not trying to change the detail of the deal you’re trying to stop us leaving.
The ongoing division is because of what happened after the referendum. Cameron should have done what he said he would do and stay on as Prime Minister whatever the result. He should have said there is only a narrow majority for leave, some of those voting leave wanted a soft Brexit into the EEA so what we are going to do is a soft Brexit and leave the EU but stay in the single market and customs union.
That would have respected the referendum result, the negotiations with the EU would have been easy and business would have been happy. Remainers would have accepted it as a reasonable compromise.
> You are a fool.
Well, that's me told
My point is that leave have no monopoly on the manipulation of information to suit their ends. You just lack the integrity to admit it.
Wrong on too many levels to answer on a phone, but it does get perilously close to admitting the leave campaign was built on lies. Odd because you leave bots normally follow the trump playbook and double down
> We are in this together, and remainers aren’t contributing.
A familiar whine from brexiters, always someone else's fault. You've no plan, no proposals, but we are supposed to get behind brexit. Why not lead by example, use the overwhelming desire for brexit and show us the sunny uplands we're heading for.
do you think the Birmingham 6 were sore losers?
> We are in this together, and remainers aren’t contributing.
But remainers are contributing. They are, repeatedly, asking practical questions about the consequences of leaving the EU - single market, customs union, loss of a significant workforce, damage to scientific research, and much more. These are real issues which need to be dealt with. Hardline leavers would have us believe these things are less important than regaining an element of sovereignty. It could be argued that it is the leavers, particularly the very hardline ideologues such as Rees-Mogg and Paterson, who are not contributing, and who are turning a deaf ear to anyone raising any practical difficulties.
By repeatedly asking the questions, remainers are forcing the Government to at least make some efforts to address the issues. It should, of course, be noted that many of these issues were raised at the time of the referendum and were brushed aside by leavers, leaving us in the hopeless situation of there being no agreed plan for the exit. This lack of planning is entirely the responsibility of the leavers.
> Whatever you intended that to mean, "what I mean is nonsense." is correct.
Ok, I'll simplify in case anyone else misunderstood: Your assertion is nonsense, protest does influence politics.
> As always, you claim I said something I didn't. I commented on "is not democracy and has no political legitimacy” Our political system has nothing written into law for it to be changed by people going on a march. It has no political legitimacy, nor would it be democratic. It can only change public opinion. Any subsequent changes are down to the normal democratic process.
David, I quoted you word for word and responded to that.
You say protest should not influence politics. That's your opinion, you stated it, I quoted it so we were both clear what was being discussed. I disagree but that's fine.
Now that leads me to the question, if protest should not influence politics (as you believe should be the case) do you think we would today have universal suffrage?
Or for that matter to give the question an outdoors theme, access to the hills and crags?
Or is it just protest you disagree with that should be ignored? Fair enough, we're only human.
I thought I had been clear but perhaps I wasn't, anyway, looking forward to your answer.
jk
> Remember I have only disagreed with your interpretation of the phrase “700k rent a mob on the street is not democracy and has no political legitimacy”. I have actually claimed it does not mean marches are illegitimate or an attempt at mob rule as you seem to think it does.
Black is white.
Lies are truth.
Horseshit is horseshit.
jk
> I don’t need a button to handle a bulky. But thanks for the strong advice.
Do you feel I'm bullying you?
jk
The other side of the ThomasCoin is that Brexiters are contributing nothing to prevent this shit from happening.
You continue to imagine I said things.
> You say protest should not influence politics. That's your opinion, you stated it, I quoted it so we were both clear what was being discussed.
Where did I state this ? Where did you quote it ?
I'm not aware of giving any opinion on this thread apart from "Marches are a legitimate way to influence public opinion." I have only commented on the meaning of the line from John Yates. “700k rent a mob on the street is not democracy and has no political legitimacy” Not my opinions.
> You continue to imagine I said things. Where did I state this ? Where did you quote it ?
Oh for goodness sake
17:46 Wed:
> Again you refer to : “700k rent a mob on the street is not democracy and has no political legitimacy” Which means that it does, and should, not in any way change the political process, only attempt to change public opinion. Perhaps you misunderstood ?
Relevant text emboldened, this represents your interpretation of a statement offered in its defence. I presume you believe what you're claiming.
> I'm not aware of giving any opinion on this thread apart from "Marches are a legitimate way to influence public opinion." I have only commented on the meaning of the line from John Yates. “700k rent a mob on the street is not democracy and has no political legitimacy” Not my opinions.
John has been quite clear, his statement is clearly worded, unambiguous and wrong. You on the other hand seem to be all over the place in its defence.
What is the point of political protest influencing public opinion if not to alter the political climate and the decisions of our representatives?
jk
> I’ve said several times I support the right to protest. I don’t really see any point trying to argue about who’s worse or when it started (off hand fruitcakes and looneys was 2008 I think, Cameron?). I do think it’s your side by far, but it’s subjective of course.
Wasn't Cameron referring to UKIP? Not the average Eurosceptic voter. My point is, let's rise above it, and ditch the language about 'losers'.
> And that’s the problem. We voted to leave but the division has remained between leave/remain. Your side is still your side.
Yes. And? As I've said, I have not seen a single thing that has convinced me that anything positive will come out of Brexit.
> You’re not trying to change the detail of the deal you’re trying to stop us leaving.
That's my prerogative.
> A demand for a referendum before we agree to a big deal, fine, although I don’t support that. Arguments about the detail of a new deal, same. A demand to reroll - which is not new, is not prompted by events since the vote, but is just a lack of acceptance of that vote - is not.
It's not a rerun of the referendum. It's a vote on the deal. Remaining in the EU should be the default option because that is our current situation, so it must be an choice on the ballot.
Do you really think this isn't prompted by events since the vote? Since the ref, we've seen:
- The utter lack of planning from either side involved in the referendum
- Cameron's departure, followed by a new government which subsequently threw away its majority
- The triggering of Article 50 without any forward planning except May's ridiculous red lines
- The revelations of overspending and sinister tactics by the leave campaigns
- The intractability of the Irish border problem, which barely got a mention during the campaign
- The distancing of pretty much every key Brexit campaigner from everything they said during the referendum campaign
I'd say all of that, combined with the very narrow result, is more than enough reason for a rethink. Even if it had been plain sailing, it would still be democratic to expect the government to ask the electorate to ratify whatever deal it returns with.
> We are in this together, and remainers aren’t contributing.
Yes I am. I'm marching for what I believe in, and will campaign and canvas if it comes to a second referendum.
However, if you're going to wheel out the jaded, mindless argument that I'm not "getting behind" Brexit, then I don't think there's any point us discussing things any further.
> I don’t, of course know your mind. As said though, people who marched the day after and have been resolute ever since are sore losers.
I went to a rally the day after the vote. Actually it was more of a vigil, people spontaneously coming together to share their sense of shock and worry and the sudden loss of identity. There wasn't any feeling of anger there, except perhaps reserved for Johnson and Farage. The message from the speakers was of unity and goodwill however. It wasn't what I'd call a political rally, there was no intention to change minds or policy on that day.
The rallies and marches since then have been to express opposition to the way the government has been handling things, and more recently to push for a new referendum.
> As to whether you offer the hand of friendship, depends whether the other guy has slapped it down and is calling foul and asking for a rematch - and is still doing that two years later.
The hand of friendship was never offered, not once, excepting some empty platitudes from May about the country "coming together" and "national interest". The government has been blind to the need to compromise. Had the government announced that it would seek an EEA-type Brexit, one which would reflect the referendum result, then you might find that my attitude would be very different.
General rounds of applause for your contributions to this thread.
It is obvious that what I have said is completely correct and you are completely wrong.
> You say protest should not influence politics. That's your opinion, you stated it, I quoted it so we were both clear what was being discussed.
You have not been able to quote where I said "protest should not influence politics" because I did not.
Instead you quote "700k rent a mob on the street is not democracy and has no political legitimacy” Which means that it does, and should, not in any way change the political process, only attempt to change public opinion." You say "this represents your interpretation of a statement".
It's not obvious to me why you're right and I'm wrong about this David, can you try to explain it for me. I genuinely don't understand where the confusion is here, am I missing a double negative or something? Let's try again.
In your opinion should politicians be influenced by peaceful public protest, should it inform and where appropriate modify their thoughts and actions?
jk
Now you are trying to change the subject. Do you accept that you claimed I said "protest should not influence politics" when I did not ?
I'm not trying to change the subject, I'm asking you to clarify your position.
> "700k rent a mob on the street is not democracy and has no political legitimacy” Which means that it does, and should, not in any way change the political process, only attempt to change public opinion." You say "this represents your interpretation of a statement".
Do you agree change and influence used in this ^ (see bold) context are synonymous?
https://www.thesaurus.com/browse/influence (click the verb button).
Every single conversation we have ends like this.
jk
> Wasn't Cameron referring to UKIP? Not the average Eurosceptic voter. My point is, let's rise above it, and ditch the language about 'losers'.
"2) Being honest, has there really been the same outpouring of vitriol from the remain side directed at ordinary leave voters? When I say I've been called a traitor, an elitist, a loser, an anti-democrat, as bad as jihadists, this has been by influential politicians with a far-reaching platform. Can you show me examples of influential remain-supporting politicians pouring the same vitriol at ordinary leave voters?" This is a pretty funny way of making that point - complaining about the other side and saying that they're worse. As said though, I agree it's a pointless endeavour.
> Yes. And? As I've said, I have not seen a single thing that has convinced me that anything positive will come out of Brexit.
The point of having the vote was to make the choice, of course not everybody would be convinced regardless of the result. You don't have to be convinced it's the best course to accept the outcome.
> That's my prerogative.
Of course it is. Just like it's the anarchists prerogative to not get involved at all. You should be entirely ignored though.
> It's not a rerun of the referendum. It's a vote on the deal. Remaining in the EU should be the default option because that is our current situation, so it must be an choice on the ballot.
If it's just a vote on the deal, and you've accepted the outcome of the referendum, then the default alternative is no deal. But you've not accepted the result, you never did, and you're making that quite clear.
> Do you really think this isn't prompted by events since the vote? Since the ref, we've seen:
No, I don't think it is at all, I think it's a continuation of before. I see no evidence that convinces me otherwise. You've made clear that your reasons are not prompted by events since, as you say you're been marching since the day after.
> Yes I am. I'm marching for what I believe in, and will campaign and canvas if it comes to a second referendum.
And like I said, crack on.
> However, if you're going to wheel out the jaded, mindless argument that I'm not "getting behind" Brexit, then I don't think there's any point us discussing things any further.
Agree with that. You've made very clear that you did not accept the result of the vote and had no intention of doing so from the start.
> I went to a rally the day after the vote. Actually it was more of a vigil, people spontaneously coming together to share their sense of shock and worry and the sudden loss of identity. There wasn't any feeling of anger there, except perhaps reserved for Johnson and Farage. The message from the speakers was of unity and goodwill however. It wasn't what I'd call a political rally, there was no intention to change minds or policy on that day.
Unity between remainers, not with the country, goodwill to remainers, not to all.
> The rallies and marches since then have been to express opposition to the way the government has been handling things, and more recently to push for a new referendum.
Absolute nonsense. They're complaints that you didn't get the result that you wanted.
> The hand of friendship was never offered, not once, excepting some empty platitudes from May about the country "coming together" and "national interest". The government has been blind to the need to compromise. Had the government announced that it would seek an EEA-type Brexit, one which would reflect the referendum result, then you might find that my attitude would be very different.
Had the government announced that we'd effectively not leave the EU you'd have been happy, otherwise you won't be. Fine, but you can't pretend that you're doing anything other than just refusing to accept the result because you didn't like it.
> I'm not trying to change the subject, I'm asking you to clarify your position.
The only position I have had on this thread is "Marches are a legitimate way to influence public opinion."
> Every single conversation we have ends like this.
Yes they do. Every time you claim I said things that I did not. What I have said is there for all to see. So what is the point ? You just go on and on, hoping that I will accept that I did actually say what you claim and let you get away with it.
> The point of having the vote was to make the choice, of course not everybody would be convinced regardless of the result. You don't have to be convinced it's the best course to accept the outcome.
Trevers doesn't have to be convinced. A significant chunk of his 16M fellow Remain voters do need to be convinced or your exit will be unpicked at the first sign of it causing hardship.
> Of course it is. Just like it's the anarchists prerogative to not get involved at all. You should be entirely ignored though.
This is tyrany of the majority. I'd be grateful for examples of where it has ended well.
> If it's just a vote on the deal, and you've accepted the outcome of the referendum, then the default alternative is no deal. But you've not accepted the result, you never did, and you're making that quite clear.
> No, I don't think it is at all, I think it's a continuation of before. I see no evidence that convinces me otherwise. You've made clear that your reasons are not prompted by events since, as you say you're been marching since the day after.
Then you're not listening to what people are saying or you're wilfully misunderstanding. The problem is yours.
> Had the government announced that we'd not leave the EU you'd have been happy, otherwise you won't be. Fine, but you can't pretend that you're doing anything other than just refusing to accept the result because you didn't like it.
Like Trevers I'd not resist a carefully planned and accurately described exit into the EEA a course of action which respects the initial vote and economic reality, does not degrade my rights or standard of living.
jk
> Yes they do. Every time you claim I said things that I did not.
You skipped the meat of the post. Do you consider the verbs 'change' and 'influence' synonymous?
jk
You are trying to change the subject. Do you accept that you claimed I said "protest should not influence politics" when I did not ?
> Scroll up for the answer.
You didn't though! Nor has anyone else, apart for saying "well how many votes do you need" bullshit, I'd happily stand by the result of another vote, because people know what a shit box we've put ourselves in, and they know their vote matters and it's no use using it as a protest against someone you don't like.
> Trevers doesn't have to be convinced. A significant chunk of his 16M fellow Remain voters do need to be convinced or your exit will be unpicked at the first sign of it causing hardship.
Trevers doesn't speak for 16M remain voters, he speaks for the hardcore. As said, as far as I can see the majority have accepted the result, he hasn't.
> This is tyrany of the majority. I'd be grateful for examples of where it has ended well.
Um, here? Every election many outliers are ignored. You can't take into account the views of the anarchist, because having government and not having government are directly opposed.
> Like Trevers I'd not resist a carefully planned and accurately described exit into the EEA a course of action which respects the initial vote and economic reality, does not degrade my rights or standard of living.
Like Trevers you never accepted the result. There are plenty of people who are in that position on other issues (e.g. anyone who doesn't think we should have the NHS, or nuclear weapons). That's life.
You've entirely missed the point of everything that I wrote. I won't discuss this any further with you since we'll just be banging heads, not communicating. However, I'm going to respond to just one of your assertions:
> Unity between remainers, not with the country, goodwill to remainers, not to all.
I'm sorry, but that's quite offensive. You weren't there, and you have absolutely no right to put words into the mouths of those who spoke. The message was of national unity, to try and put the nastiness of the referendum behind us and talk to somebody who voted the other way to heal the divisions.
Yes, I did. Firstly, there's no good reason to have a vote. It would also be divisive, costly, harmful to democracy (several remain voters have written good pieces explaining why, some I've seen linked on here) and damaging to the negotiation process. So no good reason to have a vote, lots of good reasons not to.
> Yes, I did. Firstly, there's no good reason to Brexit. It would also be divisive, costly, harmful to democracy (several remain voters have written good pieces explaining why, some I've seen linked on here) and damaging to the negotiation process. So no good reason to Brexit, lots of good reasons not to.
FTFY
> You are trying to change the subject. Do you accept that you claimed I said "protest should not influence politics" when I did not ?
If you accept the verbs 'change' and 'influence' are synonymous then that is a reasonable understanding of what you said:
> Instead you quote "700k rent a mob on the street is not democracy and has no political legitimacy” Which means that it does, and should, not in any way change the political process, only attempt to change public opinion." You say "this represents your interpretation of a statement".
If you don't accept they're synonymous then we have got to the bottom of this weird misunderstanding.
Or perhaps you're disowning your own defence of John's words, that is what you take John's words to mean but not what you personally believe?
Or it's something else. All I'm asking is that you help me understand how you can claim protest '...should, not in any way change the political process...' while getting annoyed that I understood that to mean you believe 'protest should not influence politics'.
I appreciate this is annoying but I genuinely don't understand how you apparently consider those two statements to mean fundamentally different things.
jk
You are trying to change the subject. Do you accept that you claimed I said "protest should not influence politics" when I did not ?
> Trevers doesn't speak for 16M remain voters, he speaks for the hardcore. As said, as far as I can see the majority have accepted the result, he hasn't.
What does 'accepted the vote mean'? I've accepted the vote, I live in reality, I accept reality. I still oppose leaving the EU, I particularly oppose leaving in this disorderly dangerous fashion but I accept the vote. i also accept in a rattification referendum there is a good chanch a majority of my fellow Britons will accept the negotiated terms, that they will give informed consent to leave on known terms, for defined and clearly communicated benefits and costs. I consider that a good thing, that would be democracy at it's best. I hope they won't because personally I consider my future better in the EU, I consider the UK more influential and secure in the EU. Forcing a bad deal on people who voted for the unknown is not democracy in action.
I think you might find among a lot of those who you think have 'accepted the vote' there is a strong appetite for a mature democratic process, one in which we can give or withhold informed consent.
> Um, here? Every election many outliers are ignored. You can't take into account the views of the anarchist, because having government and not having government are directly opposed.
Half the electorate are not outliers. this is the fundamental problem with the brexit process, it totally ignores the views of half the population while it is guided by a minority of hard line leavers. Britain is not a good example of the tyrany of the majority, minority voices are represented and heard, their interests advocated for, their rights protected by convention and law.
It didn't have to be like this but this is at the root of much of the discord in society today, it also makes any brexit you might achieve very fragile. It isn't good for either of us.
> Like Trevers you never accepted the result. There are plenty of people who are in that position on other issues (e.g. anyone who doesn't think we should have the NHS, or nuclear weapons). That's life.
I accept the vote to leave for what it was, I just don't believe it is in and of itself an adequate mandate for any particular version of brexit (except perhaps EEA which would reasonably reflect the evenly split result). If we really want this done in our name (what is this Thomas? You're cheering for something as yet totally undefined, totally uncosted) we will surely vote for it. You don't believe we actually do so you fear the public having choice, somewhat perversely I think we will vote for pretty much any version of brexit, I hope we might reject the most harmful variants which keeps May and her cabinet focused on delivering an exit for the populace not the party. Either way I believe it important people make an informed choice.
jk
> You are trying to change the subject. Do you accept that you claimed I said "protest should not influence politics" when I did not ?
Yes, I accept that, that is my paraphrasing of your statement: '[peaceful protest] ...should, not in any way change the political process...'.
Now can you explain why you do not appear to consider them synonymous?
jk
Do you accept that you claimed I said "protest should not influence politics" when I did not ?
> Yes, I accept that,
> that is my paraphrasing of your statement: '[peaceful protest] ...should, not in any way change the political process...'. Now can you explain why you do not appear to consider them synonymous?
From my previous post.
"Instead you quote "700k rent a mob on the street is not democracy and has no political legitimacy” Which means that it does, and should, not in any way change the political process, only attempt to change public opinion." You say "this represents your interpretation of a statement"."
As you admit yourself. I never gave an opinion on that, and I don't want to start now.
I've asked you two very simple questions over and over again, if you won't answer them we're done.
Do you claim your defence of what John wrote is your interpretation of his meaning but not an accurate representation of your views?
> "Instead you quote "700k rent a mob on the street is not democracy and has no political legitimacy” Which means that it does, and should, not in any way change the political process, only attempt to change public opinion."
Do you consider '[peaceful protest] ...should, not in any way change the political process...' and 'protest should not influence politics' synonymous, if not why not?
Please don't waste my time or yours with any more of this if you aren't willing to answer those for me.
jk
As you admit yourself. I never gave an opinion on that, and I don't want to start now.
Question marks indicate a question, not a statement or an admission.
And it's not really true to say you didn't give an opinion, you have bit by bit given a clear impression of your opinion. You said of John's statement:
> That is not disgusting language
Which indicates to me a degree of support for his position and or framing.
When I explained the specific concerns people (myself included) have with John's choice of language you dismissed them arguing I should look at the meaning not the words. I explained why words matter, they shape how we think but this was ignored.
> why not deal with the points he is making, rather than deliberately misinterpret ?
Then you subsequently offered what you think he meant by it:
> Which means that it [peaceful protest] does, and should, not in any way change the political process, only attempt to change public opinion
What is the point of influencing public opinion on a matter solely in the hands of politicians if not to via an expressed shift in public opinion influence the politicians and their policies, the political process if you will?
I've asked you to help me understand what I'm misunderstanding, where I'm misreading you but you've refused so I'm left with only what you have said on the matter.
Frankly I'm sick of this, I'm sure you are too, I have no idea why you won't answer simple questions or express clear views when asked but It's no fun at all and it's going in circles. Have a nice day.
jk
> What does 'accepted the vote mean'? I've accepted the vote, I live in reality, I accept reality.
Accepted that we're going to leave the EU.
> I think you might find among a lot of those who you think have 'accepted the vote' there is a strong appetite for a mature democratic process, one in which we can give or withhold informed consent.
We've got a mature process, that was what lead to the vote. As far as I've seen most people accept the result. If you can show otherwise go ahead - how you'd vote in a hypothetical new referendum doesn't answer that, and neither does whether you think the decision was the right one.
> Half the electorate are not outliers.
You do not speak for half the electorate, or even the less than half that voted remain.
> It didn't have to be like this but this is at the root of much of the discord in society today, it also makes any brexit you might achieve very fragile. It isn't good for either of us.
I don't have a clue what a "fragile brexit" means. No, it didn't have to be like this, people like yourself could have accepted that you'd lost and not endlessly stoked division.
The argument that a close vote means we ought to take a middle road is completely false, ignores the binary nature of the vote, and it's only being raised by those who don't accept the result. It means that if it had been 52:48 the other way we ought to have left the EU and been in the EEA only, and the chance that would have happened is 0. We would have just stayed in and there'd have been no change.
You do talk some shite
> Accepted that we're going to leave the EU.
No, I haven't accepted we will leave, it is far from a certainty. It has never been much more likely than 50:50 since day one due to the nature of the result. The bungling and infighting of the last two years have done little to change that. The 2016 vote does not mean that we have to leave, it is perfectly possible in a mature functioning democracy to change course, indeed 2016 demonstrates that, it is after all our second referendum on the issue.
> You do not speak for half the electorate, or even the less than half that voted remain.
No. I speak for me, I claim no more than that.
> I don't have a clue what a "fragile brexit" means. No, it didn't have to be like this, people like yourself could have accepted that you'd lost and not endlessly stoked division.
By fragile I mean a decision that lacks public support (the thing you're afraid to test because you know it is weak), one where opposition, pressure for a (costly and painful) policy reversal will rapidly overwhelm remaining support when the hardship comes. People haven't bought into what brexit really means for them, the costs, the illusory nature of the benefits, the fact they won't feel richer, the Romanian neighbours will probably stay because their kids are settled in the local school... If our exit had been carefully planned, public and business expectations had been managed then a broad and robust coalition of support could have been built of moderate leave and remain voters for something like the EEA but it hasn't we have unrealistic expectations and weak support, it's going to get very ugly.
A50 was rushed because the architects of Leave knew they were on the crest of a breaking wave in 2016, that public support would as reality dawned soften then melt away. They have 5 months to keep momentum up, to keep the lies drowning out the ever more desperate warnings.
> The argument that a close vote means we ought to take a middle road is completely false, ignores the binary nature of the vote, and it's only being raised by those who don't accept the result. It means that if it had been 52:48 the other way we ought to have left the EU and been in the EEA only, and the chance that would have happened is 0. We would have just stayed in and there'd have been no change.
If it had been 52:48 the other way then carefully working up and costing plans with threats addressed appropriately for a retreat into the EEA to be tested against the option of 'Remain as is' would have been a perfectly reasonable course of action. The post referendum process should have been clearly defined in advance. You're right of course that would never have happened, it is not what the wreckers and nationalist on the Conservative back benches want. Leaving the EU for the EEA is a ridiculous position that commands no parliamentary support because it is ridiculous and counterproductive but it is likely the only position that actually commands a significant majority of public support.
jk
> You do talk some shite
I think Thomas' last paragraph is perfectly valid, if the vote had been remain, that would have been it. We stay in the EU and sod all changes.
> I think Thomas' last paragraph is perfectly valid, if the vote had been remain, that would have been it. We stay in the EU and sod all changes.
We would have remained. We would also have agency to change the things that drove people to express their anger, whether we would have used it or pressed on with austerity is debatable, likely the latter but then brexit turbocharges austerity so that's not changed for the better.
jk
Lots of love x
Good to see more reasoned debate from leave. And nice to have someone else on line to share the burden of dealing with such intolerance, I'm close to throwing in the towel so good to hear your voice Thomas. Dont let them shout you down.
> The argument that a close vote means we ought to take a middle road is completely false, ignores the binary nature of the vote, and it's only being raised by those who don't accept the result. It means that if it had been 52:48 the other way we ought to have left the EU and been in the EEA only, and the chance that would have happened is 0. We would have just stayed in and there'd have been no change.
Yes, a 55-45 win for remain should have led to EEA as well. (and I am pretty sure Cameron would have pocketed the win and carried on like nothing had happened...)
Being part of the EU is very invasive to the structure of a country. There is entanglement between the memberstates at most aspects of society and EU's treaties form part of the constitution of the states. This situation can only be stable if a large majority of the population supports it.
FWIW I think these marches will not be able to stop brexit from happening. All roads to any reconsideration are blocked by May and Corbyn, and also the EU prefers to have the UK out by now. So the only way to force May and Corbyn to change (or be removed as leaders) is by having a population that is above 60% in favour of remain. The movement in the polls is still small, so this is unlikely before brexit day.
But what the marches do achieve is generating a political movement that is strongly (and also emotionally) pro-EU. When this is kept up UK will rejoin EU in the next decade.
Another consideration about the march.
It had a large and positive inpact in the EU27. E.g., this is from Peter Altmaier, one of the most powerful politicians in Germany
"People’s vote marche is the most impressive and deeply moving support for Europe I‘ve ever seen. Millions across Europe feel with you! Thx so much!!! Danke! Merci!"
Also from my side: Thanks to all who marched and argue pro-EU here!
Those are both very good points.
> Yes, a 55-45 win for remain should have led to EEA as well. (and I am pretty sure Cameron would have pocketed the win and carried on like nothing had happened...)
You mistake me. The only thing that all sides were agreed on was that EEA membership was the worst of all worlds. Less democratic accountability for no gain. If remain had won we should have remained.
> Being part of the EU is very invasive to the structure of a country. There is entanglement between the memberstates at most aspects of society and EU's treaties form part of the constitution of the states. This situation can only be stable if a large majority of the population supports it.
Agreed. Strongly points against the idea from the remain campaign that we can just leave and so there's no sovereignty issue of course.
> But what the marches do achieve is generating a political movement that is strongly (and also emotionally) pro-EU. When this is kept up UK will rejoin EU in the next decade.
They certainly achieve the goal of maintaining a tribe that is strongly in favour of EU membership and that self identifies on that basis. It's a relatively small tribe though - and it depends on how it's seen by others whether it will encourage support, if it's just seen as the vanguard of the undemocratic EU railing against a decision they don't like then it won't, it'll do the opposite. Hard to judge that.
> You mistake me. The only thing that all sides were agreed on was that EEA membership was the worst of all worlds. Less democratic accountability for no gain. If remain had won we should have remained.
I don't think people think EEA membership is the worst of all worlds. It is few people's first choice but many people's second choice.
EEA membership also has the advantage of allowing a future move back into the EU or further disengagement from the EU. When there is no strong mandate and considerable uncertainty and risk making an incremental, reversible step seems far more sensible than making a large and difficult to reverse step.
> No, I haven't accepted we will leave...
You'll accuse me of snipping to change the meaning - please don't, I understood all you said it's just a bit big. You don't think that the vote means we should follow any course of action. That's fine, but it's utterly meaningless to say in that sense that you accept the vote happened. I could say that I accept that an election happened and then stage a violent revolution because I don't like the result. Acceptance of the result is more than that, it means acceptance of the consequence, that we're going to leave.
> No. I speak for me, I claim no more than that.
Okay, then don't say that 16m are the outliers that I'm referring to. The majority accept the result, you're an outlier.
> By fragile I mean a decision that lacks public support...
All of your argument there is based on a belief about how things are that I don't agree with, I don't accept your premises. Leaving is leaving, it's a legal change that either has or has not happened. It can't be fragile.
> Leaving the EU for the EEA is a ridiculous position that commands no parliamentary support because it is ridiculous and counterproductive.
So why the hell are you supporting it then!?
> You mistake me. The only thing that all sides were agreed on was that EEA membership was the worst of all worlds. Less democratic accountability for no gain. If remain had won we should have remained.
Yes I think if remain won we should have remained but I also think given how close the vote was an option for EEA membership would be totally reasonable. I hope we'd reject it but would accept if we didn't as it does little short-medium term harm.
It appears the electorate agree. Sorry, I've lost the link to the digest of this work which had some very clear and helpful info-graphics but this is the source of the story https://www.kcl.ac.uk/sspp/policy-institute/news/newsrecords/2018/support-f...
Leaving the EU for the EEA is madness but it's the least damaging madness which unsurprisingly when the emotion and tribalism is stripped away is what people can actually agree upon.
That no party is promoting EEA membership as an appropriate position outside the EU is illustrative of a serious failure in our politics, we're ignoring economic reality driven largely by dogma and emotion. Labour are close but still unrealistic, my guess is they'll get there but too late.
> Agreed. Strongly points against the idea from the remain campaign that we can just leave and so there's no sovereignty issue of course.
Nobody disputes the fact we have pooled some sovereignty in joining the EU, the issue is whether that makes us more or less powerful than going it alone and whether we have retained enough control domestically to manage our country effectively accounting for the differences between nations of the EU. To my mind the merits very clearly outweigh the costs, we maintain sufficient autonomy while benefiting from the strength a developed market of 500M delivers. If we were in the Euro the calculus would be less clear but we aren't and until we leave in March there is absolutely no chance we will be until it is clearly beneficial. After we leave it may unfortunately become a compromise we're forced by circumstance to make.
> They certainly achieve the goal of maintaining a tribe that is strongly in favour of EU membership and that self identifies on that basis. It's a relatively small tribe though - and it depends on how it's seen by others whether it will encourage support, if it's just seen as the vanguard of the undemocratic EU railing against a decision they don't like then it won't, it'll do the opposite. Hard to judge that.
The strongly pro-EU tribe might be relatively small in Britain but the large pragmatic grouping in favour of decent living standards will figure out pretty quickly they've been conned when we leave and nothing gets better for them, the illusory gains fail to materialise or pay the bills, the breezily dismissed downsides become grinding reality. My guess is you might be one of them.
jk
You're not the remain campaign. As I recall they strongly argued that EEA was a terrible choice because it removes any say that we have in the rules that then bind us but leaves us bound. If your problem with the EU is democratic control, like me, then the EEA is just much worse. I'd rather be in fully than in the EEA only.
> If your problem with the EU is democratic control, like me, then the EEA is just much worse. I'd rather be in fully than in the EEA only.
Then perhaps you should have given that distinct possibility a bit more thought two years ago.
Switching EU for EEA membership is a terrible decision but it is the least terrible decision if we are to leave the EU, the economic harm resulting from all other brexit variants will prove intolerable.
jk
I did. There was always a risk that our MPs would ignore the result and do a fudge but so far they haven't. I was impressed by the actions of MPs afterwards, that they largely agreed to follow the result of the vote despite their own opinions. I still am.
> You're not the remain campaign. As I recall they strongly argued that EEA was a terrible choice because it removes any say that we have in the rules that then bind us but leaves us bound. If your problem with the EU is democratic control, like me, then the EEA is just much worse. I'd rather be in fully than in the EEA only.
Well sure. Obviously Remain would argue that staying in the EU is preferable to moving to the EEA. I would completely agree with that view.
But if you ask me or other Remainers whether the EEA is preferable to the nonsense the hard Brexiteers are proposing like WTO rules or Canadas type we would say absolutely.
Like I said the EEA is not the best option but it definitely is not the worst.
> Okay, then don't say that 16m are the outliers that I'm referring to. The majority accept the result, you're an outlier.
And yet, according to the YouGov poll to which you helpfully posted a link on Wednesday, 46% of those polled now think Britain was wrong to vote to leave the European Union, compared with 43% who think it was right. Which rather suggests a somewhat more complicated situation, and that simply trying to ignore anyone still voicing an opinion in favour of membership of the EU as an outlier does not do justice to the opinions of many of those 16 million voters.
> You'll accuse me of snipping to change the meaning - please don't, I understood all you said it's just a bit big. You don't think that the vote means we should follow any course of action.
I accept the vote quite rightly triggered the actions of the last two years, negotiation of the terms on which we leave. As those negotiations draw to a close I believe we reach a natural break point, one at which we should have a very clear understanding of what our future looks like outside the EU, we should review that carefully then accept or reject it. If we don't have a clear view, given the enormous increase in cost of turning back beyond March we absolutely deserve to hold our government to account for their failure and to reject an appallingly reckless blind leap.
> I accept that an election happened and then stage a violent revolution because I don't like the result.
Yes you could. Remain campaigners are of course not staging a violent coup, they are peacefully applying pressure to steer a legitimate political process to a democratic conclusion so there your analogy breaks down slightly.
> Acceptance of the result is more than that, it means acceptance of the consequence, that we're going to leave.
How, what does 'leave' look like? You have *NO* idea! You deserve the right to reject a deal that does not deliver for you just as I do.
Watching people who for two plus years have claimed their primary driver is 'democracy' arguing their fate should now be sealed not by an informed democratic choice but by the ticking of a clock while their representatives clearly fail to deliver for them is one of the most surreal and dismaying spectacles I've ever experienced. Frankly you should be ashamed.
> All of your argument there is based on a belief about how things are that I don't agree with, I don't accept your premises.
I don't care what you believe, I care about what is probable based on our understanding of the world we built and inhabit. I like your government think brexit does significant economic harm, I can explain how, I can provide references, if you don't then it is incumbent on you to persuade me as an obstacle to your goal of leaving otherwise.
> Leaving is leaving, it's a legal change that either has or has not happened. It can't be fragile.
Of course it can. If public support melts away due to unexpected hardship and no benefit then we will act to re-join. If people had realistic expectations, if damage limitation were prioritised over dogma you would have firstly more support for leaving and secondly that support would hold up more robustly as the predicted conditions became reality.
> So why the hell are you supporting it then!?
I'm not, I'm opposed to leaving. I'm a pragmatist, at this stage I wouldn't oppose EEA membership, it is the least worst alternative. It buys us breathing space to address some of the real issues underlying the electorate's dissatisfaction with their lot in life, myself included in that.
jk
Even if that poll is accurate, and as said the polls leading up to the referendum showed the same difference, in the same direction, between leave and remain, it doesn't show that people want the decision overturned.
> Even if that poll is accurate, and as said the polls leading up to the referendum showed the same difference, in the same direction, between leave and remain.
Look at the trend.
> it doesn't show that people want the decision overturned.
No, it doesn't which as always begs the question why are you so afraid to ask them if what they're offered is what they actually want?
jk
> How? What does leave look like. You have *NO* idea! You deserve the right to reject a deal that does not deliver for you just as I do.
Yes I do. You can't just keep asserting things and claiming that they're truth. Leaving the EU means scrapping the enabling acts, withdrawing from the Treaties and no longer having our law bound by any system other than our own. I don't know what deals with other nations will look like in the future, of course. Neither do you, neither does anyone.
> Watching people who for two plus years have claimed their primary driver is 'democracy' arguing their fate should now be sealed not by an informed democratic choice but by the ticking of a clock while their representatives clearly fail to deliver for them is one of the most surreal and dismaying spectacles I've ever experienced. Frankly you should be ashamed.
I've explained why I don't think this makes sense, I've explained why I don't think that the push for a referendum is in any sense founded in democratic values. You've not responded to that at all, and emotive attacks are just boring.
> I don't care what you believe, I care about what is probable based on our understanding of the world we built and inhabit. I like your government think brexit does significant economic harm, I can explain how, I can provide references, if you don't then it is incumbent on you to persuade me as an obstacle to your goal of leaving otherwise.
No, it's not. We had the vote and it's not incumbent on me to convince those who - like you - will never be convinced. You're an outlier, you should be ignored. Would it help if I said that Farage would be an outlier had the vote been the other way?
> Of course it can.
You have a completely different understanding of leaving the EU to me. I've explained mine above. It's a legal fact, it either has or has not happened.
> No, it doesn't which as always begs the question why are you so afraid to ask them if what they're offered is what they actually want?
Just scroll up. I've answered this. It really is boring that you just ignore the answer (presumably as you don't like it) and re-ask the question.
> Even if that poll is accurate,
You seemed happy to accept it on Wednesday. Has something happened in the last two days to make you change your mind?
> and as said the polls leading up to the referendum showed the same difference, in the same direction, between leave and remain, it doesn't show that people want the decision overturned.
Although it would not be an unreasonable inference to suggest that there might be considerable support for the opportunity to reconsider the question, particularly now that the leavers have been seen in action in the very heat of negotiations, and to say they have been found wanting might be considered something of an understatement.
So do you prefer to rely on opinion polling, and do you not agree with referendums to take one-time, potentially gerrymandered snapshot of opinion?
> Yes I do.
Really? Pray tell! For example, what will happen to the extensive supply chains that criss-cross the Channel that are currently an integral part of the UK motor industry. You claim to know what leave will look like, so I'm sure such a simple question will be straightforward for you.
>No, it's not. We had the vote and it's not incumbent on me to convince those who - like you - will never be convinced. You're an outlier, you should be ignored. Would it help if I said that Farage would be an outlier had the vote been the other way?
jkarran isn't an outlier. He's one of millions. And Farage reckoned there should be a second referendum in the event of a 48/52% split the other way. How does that fit in with your view that we should just go along with the result?
> Yes I do. You can't just keep asserting things and claiming that they're truth. Leaving the EU means scrapping the enabling acts, withdrawing from the Treaties and no longer having our law bound by any system other than our own. I don't know what deals with other nations will look like in the future, of course. Neither do you, neither does anyone.
So for you nothing but the total destruction of all our ties to the EU and to the rest of the world through the EU counts as out. You won't be getting that.
The detail of our future relationship makes the difference between our success as a nation and our failure the ultimately its disintegration.
> I've explained why I don't think this makes sense, I've explained why I don't think that the push for a referendum is in any sense founded in democratic values. You've not responded to that at all, and emotive attacks are just boring.
So I'll ask again, what will you do if at the last moment you're stitched up with EEA membership? Just sit and take it? Out is after all out, that's all you ticked on the ballot.
> You have a completely different understanding of leaving the EU to me. I've explained mine above. It's a legal fact, it either has or has not happened.
Norway is not in the EU. Iceland is not in the EU. Both are EEA. These are verifiable facts, they're not open to interpretation, they can't be felt they don't need to be believed. Plenty of leading leave campaigners sold brexit saying we could be like Norway youtube.com/watch?v=0xGt3QmRSZY& is your understanding also different to Farage, Hannan et al?
jk
> You seemed happy to accept it on Wednesday. Has something happened in the last two days to make you change your mind?
No. I said on Wednesday that it showed remain ahead within the margin of error (so may or may not be accurate), and that it matched the polls from before the referendum. The poll I quoted (that I think has some meaning) showed 65%:35%. I'm saying nothing different now.
> Although it would not be an unreasonable inference to suggest that there might be considerable support for the opportunity to reconsider the question
Wouldn't it? I can't on a quick search find recent polls, but on the older ones that are available a majority say we should continue even though majority would not vote leave.
> particularly now that the leavers have been seen in action in the very heat of negotiations, and to say they have been found wanting might be considered something of an understatement.
Leavers haven't been negotiating, Teresa May has.
In the post you've replied to I've said that would make Farage an outlier that should be ignored! There are probably a million or so outliers (on many many issues). We're a big country with lots of people who can't all be expected to agree.
What?!
I'm not sure you know what an outlier is. jkarran is one of millions of people with similar views. He can't be an outlier. He simply represents a minority view - or did.
> Leavers haven't been negotiating, Teresa May has.
It's always someone else's fault isn't it.
Ignore Davis and Raab and the fact of May's abrupt post referendum volte-face... its the remainers wrecking brexit, not piss poor planing, lack of defined objectives and economic illiteracy.
jk
> Wouldn't it? I can't on a quick search find recent polls, but on the older ones that are available a majority say we should continue even though majority would not vote leave.
https://yougov.co.uk/news/2018/09/12/how-public-feel-about-brexit-options/
Of the three likely option, Chequer's, no deal and remain, remain commands significantly more popular support than either of the other two. Are you really happy to push for a Brexit that is hugely unpopular with the public at large?
There may not be a groundswell of support for another referendum, which is probably something to do with the Brenda-from-Bristol effect. The constant news cycle of Brexit has worn most people down to the point where they just want it to go away.
The problem is, Brexit is here to stay and annoy us all for years to come, whether or not we go through with it.
> Wouldn't it? I can't on a quick search find recent polls, but on the older ones that are available a majority say we should continue even though majority would not vote leave.
Do please make your mind. Do you want to use the results of the poll to which you posted your useful link, or would you rather you hadn't bothered, since it now seems to be showing things you'd really rather it didn't?
> Leavers haven't been negotiating, Teresa May has.
Oh do try harder! David Davis, ardent pro-leaver, was SoS DExEU until he jumped ship. Dominic Raab, ardent pro-leaver, is current SoS DExEU.
If you think either man is/was leading the negotiations, you know little about the nature of politics. The PM's political life hangs in he balance, she has an almost impossible job to do, you think she will leave her fate to DD and DR? Come on. They are totems. Figures to give some comfort to the Leave rebels waiting in the wings sharpening their knives ready for the kill. This is a remain government making a cack handed attempt at negotiating a leave settlement that reflects the clear wishes of the majority.
Where is Brexit hugely unpopular? Maybe on UKC's rancid shores, but not the polls have moved very little given the leave campaigners have left the stage for remain to command a captive audience.....
So for you nothing but the total destruction of all our ties to the EU and to the rest of the world through the EU counts as out. You won't be getting that.
And remain do not use emotive language or distort what people are saying. Becoming law makers not law takers is not the total destruction of all ties. Yet more hyperbole, distortion and lies.
It is this hysterical approach that has undermined the remain case from the beginning -- exaggerating statements designed to induce fear....imminent recession, mass unemployment, end of western political civilisation, and possible world war........All whoppers, each and every one of them. But could you get anyone on here to admit that. Not a snowflakes chance in a sandstorm.
Interesting article her from a Vote Leave staffer from last year.
https://www.newstatesman.com/politics/staggers/2017/08/take-it-vote-leave-s...
> If you think either man is/was leading the negotiations, you know little about the nature of politics. The PM's political life hangs in he balance, she has an almost impossible job to do, you think she will leave her fate to DD and DR? Come on. They are totems. Figures to give some comfort to the Leave rebels waiting in the wings sharpening their knives ready for the kill. This is a remain government making a cack handed attempt at negotiating a leave settlement that reflects the clear wishes of the majority.
I know plenty about the nature of politics. Trying to brush me off as some naive ingenue when you know precisely nothing about my life experience is desperate stuff.
However, I would agree that this is a government making a cack-handed attempt at negotiating a leave settlement. Of course, if the Leave campaign had done anything to develop a sensible plan for departure before the referendum, we might not be in the desperate position we now find ourselves in. Or even, they might have tried to develop a plan post-referendum, but before A50 was enacted. Or perhaps after A50 was enacted but some considerable time before the Chequers agreement. The simple fact is that the leavers in Parliament have done precisely nothing to assist in the negotiations, and have simply barked on the sidelines.
With regard to the hapless May's position, you presumably do not need reminding that it was her decisions to appoint the idiot trio Johnson, Fox and Davis, it was her decision to issue the A50 letter before any adequate negotiating position was agreed, and it was her decision to call a General Election in 2017 and to then perform with such dismal inadequacy as to lose her Parliamentary majority. If she is fighting for her political life, she must look to her own decisions.
Why don't you stop the straw men? Who's claimed Brexit means the end of western political civilisation? I don't remember that one. If you weren't so prone to hyperbole yourself you might get a better response. I do think you have some valid points amidst the bluster and abuse, but it's really hard to pick them out from the junk. And as for admitting over-claiming by Remain, don't overgeneralise. I certainly don't believe all the crap that the Remain side peddled at points in the campaign. It was a bloody awful campaign. But Leave were certainly no better.
Bob. Agree it is alarmist. Author of the claim is a chap called Donald Tusk. And here is the impartial BBC report
https://www.google.co.uk/amp/s/www.bbc.co.uk/news/amp/uk-politics-eu-refere...
care to retract your statement and apologise
j
You miss my point. She appointed them as totems to the leave brigade. It’s a fine balancing act. The talks from UK side are all from Downing Street, to think otherwise is truly naive.
If the cake they've ordered turns out to be inedible, it's surely only right to blame the people who didn't order cake.
Curious reasoning.
> You miss my point. She appointed them as totems to the leave brigade. It’s a fine balancing act. The talks from UK side are all from Downing Street, to think otherwise is truly naive.
Who do you think should have been appointed as our negotiators?
> You miss my point. She appointed them as totems to the leave brigade. It’s a fine balancing act. The talks from UK side are all from Downing Street, to think otherwise is truly naive.
Your point is, as far as I can tell, to apportion blame for the cack-handedness to anyone other than the Leave campaign. Desperate stuff.
Sorry, I'd forgotten about that one. That's in the 'too soon to say' category though. He may turn out to be correct... but it does look like hyperbole. I'm not apologising for all the other points though. Maybe you think I should apologise for "I do think you have some valid points "?
No. Leave are not at the helm. A remainer is.
The war and recession are also big remainer porkies. I’m not saying leave hasn’t been economical with the truth. Just trying to get some balance. And if that means fighting fire with fire, abuse with abuse. So be it. I’m just trying to get the mass of remainers on here to feel what it’s like being in the end of what is often no more than personal assault. I’m just playing by the rules of the game on here.
> No. Leave are not at the helm. A remainer is.
Who do you think should be negotiating?
> No. Leave are not at the helm. A remainer is.
The helm! Good grief, the very idea that the leave campaign have any sense of direction! A career in satire surely awaits!
An utterly infantile question. I’m no fan of TM. She has an impossible task. A divided party, a divided country, all wanting incompatible things, shrieking at one another with such intolerance. Besides it is not in my gift to chose. Like the old question about how do you get to Barnsley l...well, I wouldn’t have started from here. I am gracing you with an answer but your past conduct makes me want to ignore you entirely as you are so poisonous.
You're gracing me with no answer, unsurprisingly, all you're saying is "ooh, you don't want to do it like that". I'm not asking you to chose [sic], I'm asking for an opinion, if you haven't a clue that's fine.
If you looked at the history of Brexit argument on here you'd find that the abuse has been pretty evenly balanced. You could get into a 'who started it' debate if you want but that would be pretty childish. If anything's unbalanced it's the ratio of Remainers to Leavers and there's not much we can do about that. Try being persuasive instead of aggressive maybe? Trying to outdo the Remain abuse in some sort of attempt to rebalance is never going to work. If anything it'll just drive people away from the debate.
My alternative is to try and be civilised about it. The rules of the game aren't fixed and in any case you can choose to play or not. I try not to insult people. Maybe we can change the culture over time?
> Where is Brexit hugely unpopular? Maybe on UKC's rancid shores, but not the polls have moved very little given the leave campaigners have left the stage for remain to command a captive audience.....
Everything was perfectly clear in the words that I wrote and the link I provided as evidence.
> An utterly infantile question. I’m no fan of TM. She has an impossible task. A divided party, a divided country, all wanting incompatible things, shrieking at one another with such intolerance.
All of which rather makes me wonder why a Leaver would have made a better fist of the negotiations, given, as you say, the impossible nature of the task and the incompatibility of the desired outcomes.
Did I say a leaver would have made a better fist? There are individuals that might. But it’s a tall order. Thatcher. Churchill. Good people in a tight spot.
Perhaps a Sailor, given our stormy seas, someone like Heath?
Forgive me. I did not notice a link. Will look again.
> Did I say a leaver would have made a better fist? There are individuals that might. But it’s a tall order. Thatcher. Churchill. Good people in a tight spot.
No, you didn't say a leaver would do better, but you did say we were in the state we are in because we have a remainer as PM. Of course, it may be that you agree that no one could do anything any better. If that were to be the case, I wonder if it is not the calibre of the people but the intractability of the situation which is the problem. And if the situation is so intractable as to be beyond the wit of our current government to resolve, perhaps we should look to putting ourselves in a different situation?
How many times? We have a Remain PM. That is all. The rest is your invention
As below. Thatcher/Churchill. Good in a crisis.
> How many times? We have a Remain PM. That is all. The rest is your invention
How many times what? Do you think that any of the leavers would have made a better job of the negotiations than the people who have been charged with the task? Not a trick question, a simple yes or no will suffice. If yes, than it would be interesting to know who who think might have done a better job.
> As below. Thatcher/Churchill. Good in a crisis.
In their unavoidable absence, would you care to suggest more realistic alternatives?
Thatcher good in a crisis? Well, she created a few...
Oh, and Churchill would probably have been a Remain PM too.
Jeremy Corbyn or Baron Adonis
Yes.
I see no storm. Perhaps in Ital, where an elected government is being told how to conduct its economic policy by unelected EU officials. Something some in the Remain camp would have us believe was impossible. Add that to the list of lies for the fleet of buses.
You mean Italy where an elected govt has deliberately and knowingly gone against an international treaty that they were signed up to. But you knew that.
'
> Thatcher good in a crisis? Well, she created a few...
> Oh, and Churchill would probably have been a Remain PM too.
Not probably, but certainly, given that he was one of the earliest promoters of the concept of a United States of Europe.
Ready,
youtube.com/watch?v=3jURdby_cDM&
You need to update a bit
You will know that there is much biographical debate on this . You do yourself no service, therefore, by pretending it is so clear cut. He did advocate a United States of Europe but was at very best ambiguous about British involvement
“We are with Europe, but not of it,” he wrote in an earlier essay. “We are linked but not comprised.” That ambiguity has haunted Britain’s relationship with its continental neighbours ever since, culminating in the UK referendum vote on June 23 for Brexit.”
from the FT but widely recognised
Here he is on the Schuman Plan. Not the voice of a remainer. Quite the opposite.
“Our attitude towards further economic developments on the Schuman lines resembles that which we adopt about the European Army. We help, we dedicate, we play a part, but we are not merged with and do not forfeit our insular or Commonwealth character…. It is only when plans for uniting Europe take a federal form that we ourselves cannot take part, because we cannot subordinate ourselves or the control of British policy to federal authorities.”
i hope you will agree this is not the voice of a remainer!!
OK, I was perhaps overstating the case (I've got some whole book on it somewhere). Your comment "He did advocate a United States of Europe but was at very best ambiguous about British involvement" is just about spot on. It remains something of a riddle, because the last thing he wanted was any kind of resurgence of nationalism in Europe and consequent fragmentation. To start with, he seemed to be very keen on being part of a United Europe, but as he grew older (i.e. in his later/last years) he seemed to become less keen, less sure. Haven't got time now to look up counter-quotes because working on something.
Quote from the article
"A basic agreement, followed by an EU free trade deal later on was the most positively rated outcome (31% would be happy, 29% unhappy). However, this assumes a free trade deal is eventually achieved and people may be less happy to leave with only a basic deal when the future is still unknown. The second most popular proposal was if Britain decided to stay after all (39% happy, 41% unhappy.
The other suggested ways of getting through the next few years were all less popular. By 43% to 34% people would be unhappy if Parliament rejected the deal and insisted on a referendum about whether to go ahead."
Looks like I'm roughly on the most populous sides (shall we take these as truth Harry Jarvis?) - 2% in overall in favour of FTA, 2% overall unhappy with staying in the EU. Do people really know what the chequers deal is? Of course they don't know detail - it doesn't exist - but do they even have a decent idea? It's not well explained in the press.
Opinion polls are just polls, they're not really that important. A clear result on something simple (like the Iraq poll) shows something - it shows that the million plus who protested then didn't represent a majority. A close result doesn't show anything except that it's close. When the question is unclear they're pretty much meaningless.
With votes we plan them in advance to ensure people have time to think about what they're going to do, so that they have time to concentrate on the choice. For referendums you need a specific issue, which means you need a deal, and we don't have one yet. If/when we do then I'd be okay with a vote (but as above there's no call for it). If you add in a choice to remain then you're just trying to overturn the original vote. You've got no mandate to do that, and I see no reason at all why we should do it - and like I said lots of reasons not to. It's not at all justified to claim it's democratically required.
It is interesting, although given how much people banged on about the single market prior to the referendum I'd question his memory if he thinks it wasn't mentioned. He's also clearly fine with free movement, but I don't think anyone would argue that free movement wasn't a huge part of the argument during the referendum. A vote to leave is a vote to scrap that, and with that goes EEA membership.
> So for you nothing but the total destruction of all our ties to the EU and to the rest of the world through the EU counts as out. You won't be getting that.
As John said (cheers!). Why do you do this?
> The detail of our future relationship makes the difference between our success as a nation and our failure the ultimately its disintegration.
You put too much importance on it, and not enough weight to the fact that it's good for both of us for there to be trade (and so we will keep trading). The claim that it will cause the disintegration of the UK just doesn't stack up. It changes the dynamic in Scotland, but I don't think it makes it more or less likely (on trade the rUK is far more important to Scotland that the EU is, and Salmond claimed that would be unaffected by a leave vote as Scotland would be in the EU). Wales voted leave and NI's issues are not related to the EU except peripherally.
> So I'll ask again, what will you do if at the last moment you're stitched up with EEA membership? Just sit and take it? Out is after all out, that's all you ticked on the ballot.
What I'll think and do depends entirely on the actual deal, what it does how it's implemented, etc. Your idea that we have the single market, and that means EU law and the ECj as the top court, is just not leaving.
> Norway is not in the EU. Iceland is not in the EU. Both are EEA. These are verifiable facts, they're not open to interpretation, they can't be felt they don't need to be believed. Plenty of leading leave campaigners sold brexit saying we could be like Norway youtube.com/watch?v=0xGt3QmRSZY& is your understanding also different to Farage, Hannan et al?
We've been through this before, and I'm pretty sure I've linked this before, it's the first google
https://medium.com/@jamesforward/a-rebuttal-to-open-britain-vote-leave-neve...
Cherry picked quotes don't prove anything, and Farage names Switzerland in your video too - they're not in the EEA, as noted in this article by a remainer fed up with this argument.
> It's always someone else's fault isn't it.
Stop the obsession with blame. It's a simple fact that leavers have not been doing the negotiating.
Thanks Gordon. I think we agree he was an enigmatic politician not easily pigeon holed! I suggested him partly because of his view on Europe. I am not in favour of little England. And don’t think he was. Quite the opposite. I want an open, diverse economy and society and believe that this entirely possible. But first we need to put aside our internal differences. This site shows in microcosm how hard this is to do.
Thatchers bruges speech is much more nuanced and pro European than popular perception of it.
Exactly. A treaty that gives the EU budgetary control over member states and the power to fine them. People on here have suggested no such power exists. It does. And this is what the take back control argument is about. 17m do not want EU dictating and enforcing policy that is best made at national level. It is this relinquishing of control that is the proximate cause of so much social and political discontent across member states (something that others on this site claim is untrue). I believe the aim of the EU, ever greater union, will and is leading to its collapse. The leave vote is evidence of that. The rise of the far right from Sweden to Hungary is evidence of that. Mass youth unemployment in Spain and Greece - effectively a lost generation — is evidence of that. EU is not an open dynamic economy. It is a trading bloc. The efficacy of blocs was utterly and literally shattered in 1989 when the Berlin Wall was pulled down. The EU is a relic of an era that has gone. It’s not the future, it’s the past.