In another thread, Mark Stevenson said:
> It is a tragic coincidence here in that recently some people have been
> critising the recent severe weather warnings (admittedly avalanche
> rather than wind/ice related) assciated with Helvellyn as being over the
> top.
> Hopefully even experienced climbers and mountaineers will accept that
> there are strong arguments in favour of over emphasising the risks of
> winter hillwalking in bad weather within the wider media if it can help
> reduce the number of tragic accidents like this.
(I don't think the other thread is an appropriate place to discuss this so I'm doing it here).
You could equally argue that since last week there was a press release about an apparent avalanche risk, but the other day there was no such press release about high winds, people could draw the assumption that they were much safer in the winds than last week's snow.
Yet the opposite is true. The avalanche risk was localised, pretty much to Helvellyn, and mainly to the winter climbs and (to a lesser extent) the edges. The danger posed by the storm/hurricane force winds existed anyway exposed to those winds.
If you start over estimating the risks, then you need to keep doing so or you risk making people think the risks are lower than they were.
Also, if you exaggerate things, and people go out anyway and find things aren't as bad as you said, then they'll ignore your next warning, which may well be a real one. Crying wolf and all that.